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Non-Linear and Nonparametric Modelling of Seasonal Environmental Data

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Summary

Non-linear models are often required in environmental applications, for example to incorporate seasonal effects. A wide variety of useful parametric forms is available, while nonparametric methods have the potential to offer further flexible extensions to any modelling situation. The aim of this paper is to incorporate this flexibility into non-linear models by allowing appropriate terms to vary smoothly over time. This uses the general structure of additive, semiparametric and varying coefficient models, within a non-linear setting. Data on water quality from the River Clyde are used as an example.

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Acknowledgements

We would like to thank Brian Miller from the Scottish Environment Protection Agency for supplying the Clyde data and providing helpful information on its context. Andrew McMullan also gratefully acknowledges the financial support of the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council through a research studentship.

Part of the work for this paper was developed for a presentation at the Euroworkshop on Statistical Modelling, funded by the European Union under grant EWStatModel, HPCF-CT-2000-00041, Event number 2. Financial support for attendance at this event is gratefully ackowledged.

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Correspondence to A. McMullan.

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McMullan, A., Bowman, A.W. & Scott, E.M. Non-Linear and Nonparametric Modelling of Seasonal Environmental Data. Computational Statistics 18, 167–183 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1007/s001800300139

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