CHMM for tool condition monitoring and remaining useful life prediction

Abstract

To solve the problems of tool condition monitoring and prediction of remaining useful life, a method based on the Continuous Hidden Markov Model (CHMM) is presented. With milling as the research object, cutting force is taken as the monitoring signal, analyzed by wavelet packet theory to reduce noise and extract the energy feature of the signal as a basis for diagnosis. Then, CHMM is used to diagnose tool wear state. Finally, a Gaussian regression model is proposed to predict the milling tool’s remaining useful life after the test sample data are verified to be consistent with the Gaussian distribution based on a reliable identification of the milling tool wear state. The probability models of tool remaining useful life prediction could be established for tools with different initial states. For example, when an unknown state of milling force signal is delivered to the milling tool online diagnostic system, the state and the existing time of this state could be predicted by the established prediction model, and then, the average remaining useful life from the present state to the tool failure state could be obtained by analyzing the transfer time between each state in the CHMM. Compared to the traditional probabilistic model, which requires a large amount of test samples, the experimental cost is effectively reduced by applying the proposed method. The results from the experiment indicate that CHMM for tool condition monitoring has high sensitivity, requires less training samples and time, and produces results quickly. The method using the Gaussian process to accurately predict remaining life has ample potential for application to real situations.