Skip to main content
Log in

Reply to Oosterhaven’s: the net multiplier is a new key sector indicator

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
The Annals of Regional Science Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper is a reply to Oosterhaven’s reply of the paper “A critical comment on Oosterhaven–Stelder net multipliers” written by de Mesnard in this issue of The Annals of Regional Science. It is argued that, unlike Oosterhaven’s statement, (1) any coefficient must be stable but Oosterhaven–Stelder final demand ratio is not; (2) the output must be exogenous in Oosterhaven–Stelder net multipliers (NM); (3) the Leontief input–output model can be validly seen as an iterative model, time consistent; (4) there is a valid link with the Keynesian multiplier; (5) the output preservation requirement is satisfied by de Mesnard’s ‘iterative net multiplier’. The paper concludes by agreeing to Oosterhaven’s suggestion that NM is not suitable to examine causalities between endogenous and exogenous variables and that the wording ‘multiplier’ is very bad and confusing for NM. Oosterhaven’s new suggestion of terming it as ‘net contribution’ or ‘net backward linkage’ is very good.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Abraham-Frois G (1982) Economie politique. Economica, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Aroche F (2006) Trees of the essential economic structures: a qualitative input–output method. J Reg Sci 46:333–353

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barro RJ (1997) Macroeconomics. MIT, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Bon R (1986) Comparative stability analysis of demand-side and supply-side input–output models. Int J Forecast 2:231–235

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brody A (1990) About production lags. Econ Syst Res 2(3):322–324

    Google Scholar 

  • Brody A (1995) Truncation and spectrum of the dynamic inverse. Econ Syst Res 7:235–248

    Google Scholar 

  • de Mesnard L (1990) Biproportional method for analyzing interindustry dynamics: the case of France. Econ Syst Res 2:271–293

    Google Scholar 

  • de Mesnard L (1992) The asynchronous Leontief model. Econ Syst Res 4:25–34

    Google Scholar 

  • de Mesnard L (1997) A biproportional filter to compare technical and allocation coefficient variations. J Reg Sci 37:541–564

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • de Mesnard L (2000) Bicausative matrices to measure structural change: Are they a good tool? Ann Reg Sci 34:421–449

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • de Mesnard L (2001) On Boolean topological methods of structural analysis. In: Lahr M, E (eds) Input–Output analysis: frontiers and extensions, in honor to Ronald E. Miller. Palgrave, pp. 269–280

  • de Mesnard L (2004) Understanding the shortcomings of commodity-based technology in input–output models: an economic-circuit approach. J Reg Sci 44(1):125–141

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • de Mesnard L (2006) A critical comment on Oosterhaven–Stelder net multipliers. Ann Reg Sci (in press). DOI 10.1007/s00168-006-0093-3

  • de Mesnard L, Dietzenbacher E (1995) On the interpretation of fixed input coefficients under aggregation. J Reg Sci 35(2):233–243

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dietzenbacher E (2005) More on multipliers. J Reg Sci 45(2):421–426

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gallo J (2006) Information et pouvoir dans les organisations: un essai de quantification par la théorie des graphes d’influence. PhD thesis, University of Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne

  • Gazon J (1976) Transmission de l’influence économique: une approche structurale. Librairie de l’Université, Collection de l’I.M.E, Dijon

  • Gazon J (2004) Collective opinion formation of socially embedded individuals in a power structure. Research Paper, HEC- ULG, School of Management. University of Liege, Belgium

    Google Scholar 

  • Guerrien B (1991) Initiation aux mathématiques. Economica, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Goodwin R.M (1949) The multiplier as matrix in input–output relations. Econ J; reprinted in Goodwin Richard M (1983) Essays in linear economic structures. MacMillan, London, pp 1–21

  • Goodwin RM (1952) A note on the theory of the inflationary process. Econ Int; reprinted in Goodwin Richard M (1983) Essays in linear economic structures. MacMillan, London, pp 57–74

  • Jackson RW, Rogerson P, Plane D, O hUallachain B (1990) A causative matrix approach to interpreting structural change. Econ Syst Res 2(3):259–269

    Google Scholar 

  • Lantner R (1972a) Recherche sur l’interprétation du déterminant d’une matrice input–output. Revue d’Economie Politique 2:435–442

    Google Scholar 

  • Lantner R (1972b) L’analyse de la dominance économique. Revue d’Economie Politique 2:216–283

    Google Scholar 

  • Lantner R (1974) Théorie de la dominance économique. Dunod, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Le Page JM (1981) Croissance et multiplicateurs sectoriels. Economica, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Leontief W (1936) Quantitative input–output relations in the economic system of the United States. Rev Econ Stat 18(3):105–125

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Leontief W (1970) The dynamic inverse. In: Carter AP, Brody A (eds) Contributions to input–output analysis. North-Holland, Amsterdam, pp 17–46; reprinted in Wassily Leontief (1986) Input–output Economics. Oxford University, New York, pp 294–320

    Google Scholar 

  • Leontief W (1985) Input–output analysis, in the Encyclopedia of materials science and engineering. Pergamon, Oxford. Reprinted in Wassily Leontief (1986) Input–output economics. Oxford University, New York, pp 19–40

  • McGilvray J, Simpson D (1969) Some testes of stability in interindustry coefficients. Econometrica 37(2): 204–221

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Miller RE, Blair PD (1985) Input–output analysis: foundations and extensions. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs

    Google Scholar 

  • Mougeot M, Duru G, Auray JP (1977) La structure productive française. Economica, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Okuyama Y, Lim H (2002) Linking economic model and engineering model: application of sequential interindustry model (SIM). In: 49th North American Meeting, Regional Science Association International, November 14–16, San Juan

  • Oosterhaven J (2004) On the definition of key sectors and the stability of net versus gross multipliers. SOM research report 04C01, University of Groningen (at: http://www.som.rug.nl)

  • Oosterhaven J (2006) The net multiplier is a new key sector indicator: reply to De Mesnard’s Comment. Ann Reg Sci (in press). DOI 10.1007/s00168-006-0094-x

  • Pasinetti L (1977) Lectures on the theory of production. Columbia, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Ponsard C (1968) De l’influence des paramètres singuliers sur le comportement d’un système linéaire de flux interégionaux. Revue d’Economie Politique 78:567–605

    Google Scholar 

  • Ponsard C (ed) (1972) Graphes de transfert et analyse économique. Sirey, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Romanoff E, Levine SH (1981) Anticipatory and responsive sequential interindustry models. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybernet SMC 11(3):181–186

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Romanoff E, Levine SH (1986) Capacity limitations, inventory, and time-phased productions in the sequential interindustry model. Pap Reg Sci Assoc 59:73–91

    Google Scholar 

  • Schnabl H (1992) Okonomische Strukturanalyse mit Hilfe von Verflechtungsschichten. Ein neues Verfahren der Qualitativen Input–Output Analyse. Jahrbucher für Nationalokonomie und Statistik, vol 209, pp 5–6; 385–406

  • Schnabl H (1994) The evolution of production structures analyzed by a multi-layer procedure. Econ Syst Res 6(1):51–68

    Google Scholar 

  • Sevaldson P (1970) The stability of input–output coefficients. In: Carter Anne P, Andrew Bródy (ed) Applications of input–output analysis, North-Holland, , pp 207–237; reprinted in Sohn Ira (ed) (1986) Readings in input–output analysis, theory and applications. Oxford University Press, New York

  • Sonis M, Hewings GJD (1988) The temporal Leontief inverse. Macroecon Dyn 2(1):89–114

    Google Scholar 

  • Sonis M, Hewings GJD (1992) Coefficient change in input–output models: theory and applications. Econ Syst Res 2:143–157

    Google Scholar 

  • Sraffa P (1960) Production of commodities by means of commodities. Prelude to a critique of economic theory. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Thépaut Y (2003) Pouvoir, information, économie. Economica, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Vaccara B.N (1970) Changes over time in input–output coefficients for the United States. In: Carter Anne P, Andrew Bródy (eds) Applications of input–output analysis. North-Holland, Amsterdam, pp 238–260; reprinted in Sohn Ira (ed) (1986) Readings in input–output analysis, theory and applications. Oxford University Press, New York

  • Vuez JM (1972) Graphes de transfert et variation des coefficients techniques d’un modèle Entrées-Sorties. In: Graphes de transfert et analyse économique. 1972. Sirey, Paris, pp 94–122

  • Yamano N, Itomi K (2005) The sensitivity of multiregional economic structure to improved interregional accessibility. REAL Working paper, 05-T-8

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Louis de Mesnard.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

de Mesnard, L. Reply to Oosterhaven’s: the net multiplier is a new key sector indicator. Ann Reg Sci 41, 285–296 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-006-0095-1

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-006-0095-1

JEL Classification

Navigation