Journal of Population Economics

, Volume 24, Issue 2, pp 629–655 | Cite as

Uncovering the impact of the HIV epidemic on fertility in Sub-Saharan Africa: the case of Malawi

  • Dick Durevall
  • Annika LindskogEmail author
Original Paper


We evaluate the impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic on the reproductive behaviour for all women in Malawi, HIV-negative and HIV-positive alike, allowing for heterogeneous response depending on age and prior number of births. HIV/AIDS increases the probability that a young woman gives birth to her first child, while it decreases the probability to give birth of older women and of women who have already given birth. The resulting change in the distribution of fertility across age groups is likely to be more demographically and economically important than changes in the total number of children a woman gives birth to.


Africa AIDS Demographic transition 

JEL Classification

I10 J13 O12 



We would like to thank Lennart Flood, Måns Söderbom, Rick Wicks and two anonymous referees for valuable comments. We also thank Sida/Sarec for financial support.


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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag 2010

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of EconomicsUniversity of GothenburgGothenburgSweden

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