Skip to main content


Log in

The determinants of fertility in rural Peru: Program effects in the early years of the national family planning program

  • Published:
Journal of Population Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript


Using data from the 1991 Peru Demographic Health Survey, a linked Situation Analysis, and a unique region-level data set, this paper examines the determinants of fertility in rural Peru before and after the 1985 enactment of its National Policy on Population. The empirical framework combines a model of the timing and spacing of conceptions with a model of the timing of the placement of family planning services in communities in order to control for non-random placement of services. Results show the program helped reduce fertility post 1985. The magnitude of the effects is quantified with simulations.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
EUR 32.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or Ebook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

Author information

Authors and Affiliations


Corresponding author

Correspondence to David K. Guilkey.

Additional information

All correspondence to David Guilkey.We thank the editor and two referees for detailed comments on an earlier draft of this paper. Funding support for this project was provided by the MEASURE Evaluation Project under a Cooperative Agreement between the U.S. Agency for International Development and the Carolina Population Center (Number HRN-A-00-97-0018-00). The views expressed herein are those of the authors and not the sponsoring agency. Responsible editor: Junsen Zhang.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Angeles, G., Guilkey, D.K. & Mroz, T.A. The determinants of fertility in rural Peru: Program effects in the early years of the national family planning program. J Popul Econ 18, 367–389 (2005).

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI:

JEL Classification