The incidence of type 1 diabetes has increased since the mid-twentieth century at a rate that is too rapid to be attributed to genetic predisposition alone. While the disease can occur at any age, mounting evidence from longitudinal cohort studies of at-risk children indicate that type 1 diabetes associated autoantibodies can be present from the first year of life, and that those who develop type 1 diabetes at a young age have a more aggressive form of the disease. This corroborates the hypothesis that environmental exposures in early life contribute to type 1 diabetes risk, whether related to maternal influences on the fetus during pregnancy, neonatal factors or later effects during infancy and early childhood. Studies to date show a range of environmental triggers acting at different time points, suggesting a multifactorial model of genetic and environmental factors in the pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes, which integrally involves a dialogue between the immune system and pancreatic beta cells. For example, breastfeeding may have a weak protective effect on type 1 diabetes risk, while use of an extensively hydrolysed formula does not. Additionally, exposure to being overweight pre-conception, both in utero and postnatally, is associated with increased risk of type 1 diabetes. Epidemiological, clinical and pathological studies in humans support a role for viral infections, particularly enteroviruses, in type 1 diabetes, but definitive proof is lacking. The role of the early microbiome and its perturbations in islet autoimmunity and type 1 diabetes is the subject of investigation in ongoing cohort studies. Understanding the interactions between environmental exposures and the human genome and metagenome, particularly across ethnically diverse populations, will be critical for the development of future strategies for primary prevention of type 1 diabetes.
The accepted model that type 1 diabetes develops in an individual due to the interplay between genetic predisposition and environmental determinants has been challenged by the observation that the rising incidence of type 1 diabetes in individuals over 50 years of age is primarily associated with people who are not at increased genetic risk [1,2,3]. Hence, environmental determinants now appear to exert a greater influence on the risk of islet autoimmunity (IA) and type 1 diabetes than in the past. The large body of evidence to support this hypothesis is based on in vitro models, animal models, cohort studies, epidemiological analyses and in vivo observations. However, inconsistencies regarding the relative contribution of genes vs environment remain, which may be explained by the heterogeneity of type 1 diabetes across the lifespan and the globe, methodological differences in studies from which conclusions have been derived and the changing impact of factors over time. Moreover, there is a paucity of information on how the in utero milieu influences type 1 diabetes risk in the offspring. In the context of a changing permissive environment, we review the contribution of candidate early-life factors, from pregnancy through to early childhood, to the development of IA and progression to type 1 diabetes. The major cohort studies and trials referenced in this review are shown in Table 1 and factors associated with initiation of or protection from IA and progression to type 1 diabetes are summarised in the Text box.
The risk of type 1 diabetes is tenfold higher in children with an affected first-degree relative (FDR) compared with the general population. A substantial component of this risk (~50%) can be explained by specific HLA alleles . The highest risk haplotypes are DRB1*03:01-DQA1*05:01-DQB1*02:01 (known as ‘DR3’) and DRB1*04-DQA1*03:01-DQB1*03:02 (known as ‘DR4’). In a pooled analysis of 5196 individuals with type 1 diabetes and 6359 control participants, individuals who were heterozygous for DR3/4 had an OR >16 for type 1 diabetes, while DR3/3 and DR4/4 homozygotes had ORs ~6 . However, <10% of individuals with HLA-conferred susceptibility develop type 1 diabetes.
Genome-wide association studies elucidated a putative role for multiple non-HLA type 1 diabetes risk loci . Incorporation of multiple loci into a genetic risk score (GRS) can predict >10% of risk for pre-symptomatic type 1 diabetes in children without an affected FDR . In an ethnically diverse population from South-Eastern USA, younger age at type 1 diabetes diagnosis was associated with a higher prevalence of the DR3/4 diplotype and a higher GRS . This suggests that the relative contribution of the environment may be greater in those who develop type 1 diabetes at an older age. Recently, the combination of 67 single nucleotide polymorphisms, HLA DR-DQ loci and their interactions into a revised GRS (GRS2) was highly discriminative for type 1 diabetes, particularly early-onset disease, with an area under the curve of 0.96 . In the context of population screening for type 1 diabetes, which is now being undertaken through multiple programmes [42, 43], the GRS has substantial potential for prediction of type 1 diabetes in early life.
The application of a GRS has also provided further insights into the risk of IA and type 1 diabetes in childhood in familial vs non-familial type 1 diabetes. The Environmental Determinants of Diabetes in the Young (TEDDY) study screened infants for multiple type 1 diabetes-associated alleles and stratified genetic susceptibility into four groups based on presence of ‘high-risk’ DR4 allele subtypes and quartiles of GRS . On comparing children with or without an FDR with type 1 diabetes, those in the highest risk group (high-risk DR4 allele subtypes and first quartile GRS) had similar rates of multiple islet autoantibodies (14.3% vs 12.7%, respectively) and type 1 diabetes (4.8% vs 4.1%, respectively). In contrast, for children in the lowest genetic susceptibility group (low-risk DR4 allele subtypes and GRS <50th percentile), the risks of multiple autoantibodies in those with or without an FDR differed almost sixfold (9.2% vs 1.6%, respectively), suggesting that additional factors were enriched within families where more than one individual developed type 1 diabetes compared with the general population. The findings support the hypothesis that the contribution of genetic and environmental factors to the development of type 1 diabetes varies according to family history.
Dietary factors, including early introduction of cow’s milk protein , overall dairy intake and early or late introduction of gluten , have long been implicated in the development of IA and type 1 diabetes, potentially through a mechanistic role; these dietary factors may act as antigenic triggers of autoimmunity or as co-factors in the context of gut infection and/or inflammation.
The impact of maternal diet on the risk of type 1 diabetes has not been extensively assessed. In the Danish National Birth Cohort study, offspring of women with high gluten intake (>20 g/day) had double the risk of type 1 diabetes vs offspring of women with low gluten intake (<7 g/day) . In the Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young (DAISY), maternal intake of vitamin D via food (but not via supplements) was associated with a 63% decreased risk of IA in offspring . Higher maternal vitamin D-binding protein levels and higher cord blood 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] was associated with a lower risk of type 1 diabetes in the offspring, with a vitamin D receptor–genotype interaction . In contrast, average maternal vitamin D plasma concentration during pregnancy was not associated with an increased risk of type 1 diabetes in cohorts from Norway and Denmark . Further data from prospective studies commencing in pregnancy, such as the Environmental Determinants of Islet Autoimmunity (ENDIA) study (anzctr.org.au registration no. ACTRN12613000794707) , will provide more comprehensive data on the role of perinatal vitamin D supplementation in IA and type 1 diabetes.
Cow’s milk protein
DAISY demonstrated that greater intake of cow’s milk protein was associated with increased IA risk in children with low/moderate risk HLA-DR genotypes (adjusted HR 1.41 [95% CI 1.08, 1.84]), but not in children with high-risk HLA-DR genotypes . The Trial to Reduce Insulin-Dependent Diabetes Mellitus in the Genetically at Risk (TRIGR), an RCT that only recruited children with high-risk HLA genotypes, demonstrated that cow’s milk ingestion during infancy did not reduce the incidence of IA  or type 1 diabetes , as compared with hydrolysed formula. In the Diabetes Prediction and Prevention (DIPP) study, exposure to cow’s milk protein formula before 3 months of age was not associated with IA or type 1 diabetes, but the interaction between enterovirus infection and cow’s milk exposure before the age of 3 months was associated with IA . If cow’s milk protein has a role in the pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes, the relationship may result from an interplay between genetic predisposition to aberrant mucosal immunity to dietary and other proteins , along with increased intestinal permeability (‘leaky gut’) and exposure to intestinal microbiota .
A meta-analysis of 43 studies, including 9874 cases of type 1 diabetes, demonstrated a weak protective effect of breastfeeding on type 1 diabetes risk: for exclusive breastfeeding ≥2 weeks vs <2 weeks, the OR was 0.75 (95% CI 0.64, 0.88) and for exclusive breastfeeding ≥3 months vs <3 months, the OR was 0.87 (95% CI 0.75, 1.00). The authors concluded that their findings were difficult to interpret due to marked heterogeneity and possible biases, particularly recall bias . For ethical reasons, it will not be possible to address the question of exclusive breastfeeding in an RCT; however breastfeeding should be encouraged in children at risk of type 1 diabetes, as for the general population, due to other established benefits .
Both early and delayed introduction of gluten have been implicated in the risk of IA and type 1 diabetes [6, 28]. In TEDDY (which included ~700 children with IA), early introduction of gluten before the age of 4 months reduced IA risk (adjusted HR 0.67 [95% CI 0.54, 0.98]), while late introduction of gluten (after 9 months of age) was not associated with increased IA risk . Similarly, the BABYDIET study showed that delaying gluten exposure until 12 months of age in at-risk children was not associated with reduced IA risk . The modest HRs in TEDDY and small sample size in BABYDIET suggest that further investigation into the effects of timing of gluten introduction on IA/type 1 diabetes risk is warranted in other cohorts, as well as studies into the interaction of gluten intake with other IA/type 1 diabetes risk variables, such as breastfeeding and infection.
Specific foods and micro- and macro-nutrients
Additional dietary factors that have been variably associated with risk of IA and type 1 diabetes, such as root vegetables [16, 17] or berries and fruit , were not shown to have significant associations with these conditions in the TEDDY dietary analyses . Only the introduction of egg before 9 months of age was associated with a reduced IA risk (adjusted HR 0.8 [95% CI 0.72, 0.99]; p = 0.035). While the number of individuals in TEDDY  is much larger than the earlier studies in this area (highlighting the potential for small-study effects ), the discrepant findings between these studies may be related to chance findings in any of the studies, particularly given the large number of dietary variables measured and the lack of adjustment for multiple comparisons [16, 28]. Other possible explanations include geographic differences in study populations, methodological differences between studies, changes in dietary practices over time and interaction between diet and other associated biological systems, such as the metabolome and gut microbiome.
The rising incidence of type 1 diabetes largely parallels population rates of overweight/obesity over time. Using combined data from two large birth cohort studies in Norway and Denmark, type 1 diabetes risk in the offspring was modestly associated with maternal pre-pregnancy obesity (adjusted HR 1.41) and paternal obesity (adjusted HR 1.51) . A meta-analysis of 29 predominantly European studies demonstrated that birthweight >3.5 kg was associated with an increased risk of type 1 diabetes, after adjustment for potential confounders . In the Australian BABYDIAB study, weight and BMI z scores during infancy were continuous predictors of IA risk, with a weight z score >0 conferring a more than twofold risk of IA (HR 2.6) . The effect of exposure to being overweight pre-conception, in utero and postnatally may be mediated by accompanying insulin resistance [52, 53].
An infectious aetiology for type 1 diabetes has been postulated for almost a century . Multiple prospective cohort studies have investigated the role of early-life infections in type 1 diabetes, using prospective clinical data, as well as specific microbial and virological testing [23,24,25,26, 29, 55]. Recently, our understanding of the role of infections has been enhanced by the use of ‘omics’ technologies to determine the relationship between the microbiome (including bacteria, bacteriophages and viruses), transcriptome and proteome in the development of IA/type 1 diabetes.
Maternal virus infection
Pregnancy represents a complex immunological state in which bias towards helper T lymphocyte-associated cytokines (Th2 bias) diminishes cell-mediated immunity and increases vulnerability to intracellular infections, including viruses [56, 57]. Acute perinatal infections, such as rubella and infection with cytomegalovirus, can cause significant perinatal morbidity, with resulting clinical syndromes including diabetes; although most cases of congenital rubella syndrome have an atypical form of diabetes without evidence of IA . In our systematic review and meta-analysis of 2039 mothers and 953 offspring, we found a significant association between virus infection during pregnancy and childhood type 1 diabetes (OR 2.2) but not IA . The TEDDY study showed that retrospectively reported maternal respiratory infections during pregnancy were associated with a reduced risk of developing insulin autoantibodies in children with the CTLA4 G allele polymorphism (HR 0.64 [95% CI 0.45, 0.91]), suggesting a protective role for this allele . Our systematic review highlighted the need for data from prospective cohorts commencing in pregnancy, with frequently obtained clinical samples to document infection, along with pathogenesis studies, to establish an aetiological link between in utero infections and type 1 diabetes in the offspring. The ongoing ENDIA study will address these questions, with a strong focus on ‘omics’ .
Infections in early life increase the risk of IA and type 1 diabetes in at-risk and unselected population cohorts [23, 24, 26, 29]. In TEDDY, prospectively collected parent-reported history of recent respiratory infections in children before 4 years of age was associated with a modestly increased (5.6%) IA risk. The incidence of both IA and respiratory infections peaked at 6–9 months of age (Fig. 1) and a higher rate of respiratory infections was observed in the 9 months prior to seroconversion to IA . In a population-based cohort from Germany, type 1 diabetes risk was significantly increased in children who experienced respiratory tract infections before 6 months of age . Similarly, in an Australian birth cohort study of healthy children, type 1 diabetes risk was increased in association with an early upper respiratory tract infection before the age of 5 weeks (adjusted OR 2.7) or ear infection by the age of 12 weeks (adjusted OR 3.4) . Since these studies were based on parental reporting of infection, causative agents were not identified. In contrast, a large population-based study of >1 million cases and controls from Taiwan demonstrated that enterovirus infection before 18 years of age was associated with an increased risk of subsequent type 1 diabetes (adjusted HR 1.5) .
Such studies cannot determine whether the associations between early infections and IA or type 1 diabetes reflect increased exposure to viruses or an underlying susceptibility to virus infection due to a dysregulated immune response . This may have a genetic basis, as antiviral response genes, such as IFIH1 CD69, and IL2RA, are among the loci linked to type 1 diabetes susceptibility . In support of this hypothesis, a type I interferon-inducible transcriptional signature was increased in the peripheral blood of children from the BABYDIET study before seroconversion to IA and correlated with recent self-reported respiratory infections . Also, it is possible that treatment with antibiotics in early life , which alter the gut microbiome, may explain the relationship between infection and IA/type 1 diabetes; although, antibiotic treatment likely serves as a confounder. Infections may contribute to IA and type 1 diabetes in young children through activation of interferon signalling pathways and pattern recognition receptors following bacterial, viral and, possibly, other infections . This may result in beta cell inflammation, activation of autoreactive and bystander CD8+ T cells and progressive autoimmune-mediated beta cell destruction. The detection of IFN-α and increased HLA class I expression in beta cells of individuals with type 1 diabetes is consistent with this model .
Numerous clinical, epidemiological and experimental studies have reported associations between IA or type 1 diabetes and viruses, particularly enteroviruses , but also herpesviruses (cytomegalovirus, Epstein–Barr virus) [64, 65], rotavirus , rubivirus (rubella) , rubulavirus (mumps)  and parechoviruses  during infancy and childhood. Potential mechanisms by which viruses interact with genetic predisposition to induce an autoimmune assault on pancreatic beta cells have been comprehensively reviewed elsewhere [59, 63].
In our systematic review and meta-analysis of 26 studies involving over 4400 participants, we found a significant association between enterovirus infection, IA and type 1 diabetes; for newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes, the OR was 12.7 (95% CI 6.4, 25.0) . There was significant heterogeneity by geographical region, but we could not stratify the analysis by enterovirus genotype because the majority of studies did not provide this information.
DIPP demonstrated a temporal association between the appearance of the first diabetes-associated autoantibodies and enterovirus infection, based on both serology and PCR for enterovirus genes [69,70,71]. In particular, neutralising antibodies to coxsackievirus group B (CVB)1 increased the risk of IA, which was attenuated by the presence of maternal antibodies to the virus. In contrast, antibodies to CVB3 and CVB6 were associated with lower IA risk, which may be due to immunological cross protection against CVB1. These associations were also present in children who progressed to type 1 diabetes .
Although strong evidence supports a predominant role for enteroviruses in the pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes , the use of targeted detection methods (PCR, serology, etc.) raises significant concern for investigation bias towards enteroviruses. With the advent of high-throughput sequencing technologies, it is now possible to screen for all viruses (the ‘virome’) simultaneously, eliminating such bias. However, early application of virome sequencing in TEDDY  and DIPP  proved difficult due to the limited sensitivity caused by the overwhelming background of non-viral nucleic acid in clinical specimens .
To significantly improve the sensitivity of virome detection by up to 10,000-fold , we and others applied a novel viral enrichment strategy (VirCapSeq-VERT) to characterise the virome of children with IA in the Viruses In the Genetically at Risk (VIGR) study  and BABYDIET . The sensitivity and specificity for virus detection using this method is on par with targeted PCR, unlike other virome-sequencing methods that use physical enrichment, which are less sensitive [36, 74]. In our analysis of the gut and plasma virome of 45 individuals with IA and 48 matched control participants, we detected 28 genera of viruses and 62% of children were positive for ≥1 vertebrate-infecting virus . This represents a more than threefold higher positivity than previously reported in the DIPP virome analysis . We identified 129 viruses as differentially abundant in the gut of individuals with IA vs control participants, including five enterovirus A genotypes, which were significantly more abundant in those with IA. While the sample size is small, these findings further support the contribution of enteroviruses to the development of IA and corroborate the proposal that viral load may influence IA risk .
In our analysis of the longitudinal gut virome of 61 pregnant women (35 with type 1 diabetes and 26 without) in ENDIA, using VirCapSeq-VERT , 63% of samples tested positive for at least one virus and 29 genera of eukaryotic viruses were detected (Fig. 2). Moreover, there was more than a twofold difference in the abundance of 77 viruses between the two maternal groups, including eight enterovirus B types, which were present at a higher abundance in women with type 1 diabetes. These findings provide novel insight into the diversity and dynamics of the gut virome during pregnancy and demonstrate a distinct profile of viruses during pregnancy in women with type 1 diabetes. It will be important to determine whether these differences remain significant in the full ENDIA cohort, and whether they translate to altered risk for IA and type 1 diabetes in the offspring. These findings may be informative for prevention strategies, such as enterovirus vaccination .
Gut bacteriophages are relatively unexplored in the pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes. Compared with eukaryotic viruses, they are far more ubiquitous, constituting the vast majority of viral sequences in the gut . Analysis of the gut phageome in children with IA in the DIABIMMUNE study revealed significantly lower richness and Shannon diversity of bacteriophages in individuals with IA vs matched control participants . Furthermore, a subset of bacteriophage sequences was directly or inversely associated with seroconversion to IA and highly predictive for discriminating between cases and controls. Interestingly, these differences in bacteriophage populations before seroconversion were observed despite the lack of distinguishing bacterial signatures from the same samples . This suggests that changes in the phageome prior to seroconversion may contribute to changes in bacterial diversity after seroconversion.
Dysbiosis of the gut microbiota has been associated with IA and type 1 diabetes, yet the functional consequences to the host of this dysbiosis are still being unravelled. The composition of the gut microbiome is strongly affected by the maternal environment, diet (particularly breastfeeding in early life) and use of antibiotics and probiotics. The microbiome interacts closely with the host immune system, making it a strong contender for providing a mechanistic link between multiple environmental modifiers and IA.
A landmark study of the gut microbiome in healthy human pregnancy showed marked changes from the first to the third trimester, to a more proinflammatory microbiome . Such changes could be considered adaptive to support the growing fetus and weight gain of pregnancy; however, these changes were not replicated in subsequent studies of pregnancy, with reports of a stable gestational microbiome across different body sites . Maternal and, potentially, paternal factors influence the infant’s microbiome after rapid changes during the first year of life. Maternal weight, pregnancy weight gain and complications of pregnancy, such as diabetes and pre-eclampsia, all influence the composition and functional capacity of the gut microbiome, as followed through preschool years . Antibiotic use in pregnancy can affect the maternal and infant microbiome, but overall exposure, number of courses or antibiotic type (narrow vs broad) in utero were not associated with type 1 diabetes risk .
The gut microbiome has a critical role in the early development of immune regulation in the infant . The early microbiome, and its perturbations in association with IA and type 1 diabetes, is the subject of investigation within multiple cohorts. Whilst most studies used 16S ribosomal RNA (rRNA) sequencing to assess community composition, modern metagenomic methods more accurately identify functional and strain-specific differences in the microbiome  and other approaches, such as faecal metaproteomics, can identify host–microbiota interactions .
Microbial composition during early life is influenced by mode of birth, breastfeeding, introduction of formula milk and solid foods, antibiotic and probiotic use, and bacterial and viral infections. A decrease in diversity and stability of case microbiomes over time, as well as a reduction in short-chain fatty acid (SCFA) production and gut integrity-associated bacterial genes, were associated with IA and type 1 diabetes [33, 75]. In DIABIMMUNE, alpha diversity decreased after seroconversion in individuals who progressed from IA to type 1 diabetes, with the onset of type 1 diabetes being preceded by inflammation-associated microbes and functional pathways .
The recent longitudinal analysis of stool microbiomes in TEDDY (mainly white non-Hispanic children), using 16S rRNA and metagenomic sequencing, is the largest study to examine the infant microbiome [32, 33]. Three phases were described: (1) a developmental phase (3–14 months); (2) a transitional phase (15–30 months); and (3) a stable phase (31–46 months). Partial or exclusive breastfeeding was the most significant factor associated with microbial composition, resulting in increased Bifidobacterium species. Weaning led to faster maturation of the gut microbiome, driven by the breast milk cessation, heralding the appearance of bacteria belonging to the phylum Firmicutes. Other factors that significantly associated, but to a lesser degree, with infant microbiota composition were geographical location, antibiotic use, probiotic use, household siblings, furry pets and vitamin D supplementation .
Further, breast milk feeding between 3 and 14 months was solely associated with bacterial metabolic potential. Pathways involving metabolic functions associated with the adult microbiome were increased in non-breastfed infants up to 14 months of age . A reduction in gene families involved in the degradation of human milk oligosaccharides to SCFA and an increase in mucin-degrading genes after weaning indicated a strain-shift, whereby new microbiota, including Enterococcus species, were increasingly responsible for these functions .
Relatively modest alterations in the microbial composition were associated with IA or type 1 diabetes in both the amplicon sequencing  and metagenomic sequencing  arms of TEDDY. Control participants had higher levels of Lactococcus and Streptococcus, both of which are common in dairy products. Gut microbiomes of children in the TEDDY study who did or did not develop IA or type 1 diabetes, therefore, did not reveal clear taxonomic differences and there was considerable geographical heterogeneity across the study sites. However, importantly, on metagenomic analysis, the microbiomes of progressors to IA or type 1 diabetes contained significantly higher numbers of genes involved in pathways involved in fermentation and production of SCFA byproducts. SCFA bacterial products regulate host metabolism and immunity. Butyrate, in particular, maintains gut epithelial integrity, supports differentiation of regulatory T cells and promotes anti-inflammatory responses, and both butyrate and acetate have been shown to prevent diabetes in the NOD mouse. The TEDDY study findings, therefore, extend experimental data in the NOD mouse  and smaller human studies  that support a protective effect of SCFA on the development of type 1 diabetes. Interestingly, there was geographical variability as to which SCFA pathways (acetate, butyrate or propionate) were altered in children with IA/type 1 diabetes in the TEDDY study, and the taxa with which these were associated. This suggests that changes in the overall molecular functions of the microbiota may be more uniformly associated with type 1 diabetes and IA, rather than specific taxa. A recent study utilising metaproteomic analysis of stool samples sheds light on the functional impact of altered microbiota on the host; the abundance of proteins from the mucous barrier and epithelial adhesion molecules were positively associated with taxa that were abundant in control participants compared with individuals with IA or type 1 diabetes . These findings further support gut epithelial integrity as a key characteristic of the microbiome in healthy individuals.
Despite TEDDY’s large sample size, most associations were modest in effect size, which may be attributed to differing type 1 diabetes endotypes, high geographical heterogeneity and a lack of samples from early life (prior to 3 months of age) . The impact of the microbiome and its products may be different with different genetic risk alleles and in different disease phenotypes. The role of other co-inhabitants, such as the mycobiome, is unknown, as is the impact of the dramatic changes in biological systems before and after birth. Studies investigating pregnancy to early-life cohorts, such as ENDIA  and DIPP Novum, will address these unknowns.
Crosstalk between early-life factors and pancreatic beta cells
While a diverse spectrum of early-life factors putatively influence the development of IA and type 1 diabetes, the mechanisms underlying their contribution to the autoimmune assault that specifically targets pancreatic beta cells are yet to be fully elucidated . One potential route is the induction of stress in the endoplasmic reticulum (ER), where the synthesis/folding of proinsulin takes place . During insulitis, proinflammatory cytokines released by infiltrating immune cells disrupt ER homeostasis, triggering the unfolded protein response. This adaptive phase is believed to play a critical role in the development of IA by promoting the generation of neoantigens and activating inflammatory responses . Furthermore, ER stress induces translational errors, giving rise to defective ribosomal products of insulin that are highly immunogenic and targeted by T cell autoreactivity in type 1 diabetes .
Research gaps and future directions
The discrepant findings from studies investigating the multitude of putative aetiological determinants of IA and type 1 diabetes, with largely modest associations observed, highlight the importance of adequately powered studies, consistent definitions of exposure and outcome measures, multifactorial modelling of pathogenesis and meta-analyses, which can also explore publication bias and study heterogeneity. Findings from small or pilot studies may be chance associations, particularly when not replicated in larger cohorts or trials, as may be the case for TRIGR . However, large studies and ‘big data’ are not immune from bias or chance findings . Key to unravelling the heterogeneous nature of type 1 diabetes is the exploration of genetic susceptibility and validation of GRSs in diverse populations. Studies need to take account of the interplay between development of islet autoimmunity and/or type 1 diabetes and environmental factors, stratified by genetic, ethnic and global variation, particularly in early life. While incidence rates for type 1 diabetes are highest in Scandinavia/Northern Europe , the caseload of type 1 diabetes globally includes regions that have not been comprehensively studied, such as the Middle East, Africa, Asia and South America. For interventions aimed at primary, secondary and tertiary prevention of type 1 diabetes to be successful, understanding the heterogeneity of type 1 diabetes is essential. In the era of ‘omics’, the future potential to elucidate the interaction between multiple biological systems in IA/type 1 diabetes is immense.
Coxsackievirus group B
Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young
Diabetes Prediction and Prevention
Environmental Determinants of Islet Autoimmunity
Genetic risk score
Short-chain fatty acid
The Environmental Determinants of Diabetes in the Young
Trial to Reduce Insulin-Dependent Diabetes Mellitus in the Genetically at Risk
Viruses In the Genetically at Risk
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MEC is supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Practitioner fellowship (APP1045777) and a JDRF International grant (3-SRA-2017-417-A-N). SRI is supported by an Australian Government Research Training Program Scholarship. EEH-W is supported by grants from JDRF (3-SRA-2019-730-S-B, 2-SRA-2019-703-M-B) and a Children’s Hospital Foundation grant (WIS0202018). The ENDIA Study is supported by JDRF Australia, the recipient of the Australian Research Council Special Research Initiative in Type 1 Juvenile Diabetes, The Leona M. and Harry B. Helmsley Charitable Trust, JDRF International and the JDRF/NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence for the Protection of Pancreatic Beta Cells (APP1078106; JJC, MEC, MP, WDR).
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Craig, M.E., Kim, K.W., Isaacs, S.R. et al. Early-life factors contributing to type 1 diabetes. Diabetologia 62, 1823–1834 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00125-019-4942-x
- Gene–environment interaction
- Life course development
- Type 1 diabetes