Using a random cohort and a clinical assessment of glucose regulation and type 2 diabetes, this study demonstrates that low birthweight and prematurity are associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes, supporting a recent registry-based study [5]. It also documents that low birthweight is associated with beta cell dysfunction and reduced insulin sensitivity, whereas prematurity is associated solely with attenuated insulin sensitivity.
As for the other end of the birthweight spectrum, elevated birthweight has been associated with type 2 diabetes in some [12] but not all previous studies [1, 2]. The lack of a significant relation between high birthweight and type 2 diabetes in this study may theoretically be explained by a low frequency of gestational diabetes among the mothers.
Ponderal index, a measure of thinness at birth, has previously been proposed to be a stronger predictor of type 2 diabetes than birthweight [2]. However, our finding of a quantitatively similar risk of type 2 diabetes for birthweight and ponderal index neither supports that notion nor the idea that ponderal index is a superior marker of an adverse intrauterine environment.
The robustness of our findings is illustrated by the consistency of the results across the four applied levels of adjustment. The finding that the associations between birthweight and risk of type 2 diabetes remained similar after adjusting for maternal parity and parental diabetes status (model 3), as well as socioeconomic and lifestyle factors (model 4), may be explained by the magnitude of findings for age and BMI, which are included in model 1 and 2, respectively.
Originally, beta cell dysfunction was thought to represent a key link between low birthweight and the risk of type 2 diabetes [1]. However, subsequent studies reported low birthweight to be associated with reduced insulin sensitivity rather than decreased insulin secretion [13]. Our participants with low birthweight had elevated concentrations of post-load serum insulin, but when accounting for insulin sensitivity, their beta cell function was in fact reduced. The necessity of adjusting for insulin sensitivity may be particularly important in relatively young study populations like that of the Inter99 study, as hyperinsulinaemia and reduced insulin sensitivity precede pancreatic failure in absolute terms in the natural history of type 2 diabetes.
Despite less disproportionate fetal growth, reflected by a higher ponderal index at birth, participants born prematurely had a similar reduction of insulin sensitivity as well as a similarly elevated risk of type 2 diabetes compared with participants born SGA. Interestingly, no association between birthweight z scores and type 2 diabetes or other measures of glucose regulation was observed among the participants born prematurely, and prematurity was not associated with reduced beta cell function. Altogether, our results suggest that the early life programming mechanisms that mediate the increased risk of type 2 diabetes may be different for low birthweight and prematurity.
The Inter99 study is based on an age- and sex-stratified random sample of the population. As in all population-based studies, it faces selection bias towards more healthy individuals among participants compared with non-participants [6]. Moreover, the prevalence of type 2 diabetes was slightly lower among Inter99 participants with traced midwife records vs those without traced midwife records [8]. If anything, this selection bias towards inclusion of the healthiest segment of the Danish middle-aged population may have led to underestimation of the reported effects of perinatal factors in the aetiology of type 2 diabetes.
In conclusion, we found both reduced insulin sensitivity and beta cell dysfunction to be mediators in the association between low birthweight and type 2 diabetes. In addition, prematurity was associated with attenuated insulin sensitivity and type 2 diabetes independently of fetal growth rate.