Abstract
Aims/hypothesis
The primary aim of this study was to determine whether the presence of one or more APOE ε4 alleles modifies the association between diabetes (defined by glucose ≥7 mmol/l or treatment) and cognitive function.
Methods
Diabetic status and APOE genotype interactions were assessed cross-sectionally for 826 community-dwelling, stroke-free, non-demented individuals (526 non-diabetic non-APOE ε4 carriers, 174 non-diabetic APOE ε4 carriers, 87 diabetic APOE ε4 non-carriers, 39 diabetic APOE ε4 carriers) ranging in age from 50 to 98 years. Cognitive function was assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), the similarities subtest from the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale, and four composite scores derived from 17 additional neuropsychological tests. Multiple linear regression analyses were employed to relate diabetes and APOE genotype to cognitive performance and to examine the interaction between these two risk factors as they relate to cognitive performance. Multiple cardiovascular disease risk factors were statistically controlled.
Results
With adjustment for age, education, sex, race/ethnicity and APOE genotype, performance level was lower for the diabetic than for the non-diabetic group for the MMSE, the similarities subtest and each of the cognitive composites with the exception of the verbal memory composite. Interactions (p < 0.05) between diabetes and APOE genotype were found for all but the visual–spatial memory/organisation composite. The negative association between diabetes and cognitive performance was of a higher magnitude for individuals who carry one or more APOE ε4 alleles. Results were similar with additional adjustment for cardiovascular disease and associated risk factors.
Conclusions/interpretation
The presence of one or more APOE ε4 alleles modifies the association between diabetes and cognitive function.
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Introduction
Diabetes mellitus has been associated with decrements in cognitive performance and dementia in cross-sectional and longitudinal studies [1–4]. A recent review indicates that individuals with diabetes have a greater risk of cognitive decline and a greater risk of developing dementia than do non-diabetic individuals [3]. Among others, possible mechanisms for this association include oxidative stress, accelerated ischaemic brain damage [5] and impaired use of glucose during cognitive tasks [6].
The presence of at least one apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 allele—another important risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD)—is associated with dementia and lowered levels of cognition [7, 8]. While some studies have indicated that the presence of at least one APOE ε4 allele is associated with lowered cognitive performance [9, 10], negative findings have been reported in a number of investigations, particularly those in which persons with dementia or preclinical dementia have been excluded from the study samples [11–15].
Aside from serving as a CVD risk factor in its own right, the APOE ε4 allele may modify the effects of other CVD risk factors, including diabetes, on performance on the Modified Mini-Mental State Examination (3MSE) [16]. That is, the negative association between diabetes and mental status may be more pronounced in diabetic individuals who carry at least one APOE ε4 allele. Effect modification by the presence of the APOE ε4 allele has been reported in investigations of the association of diabetes mellitus and dementia. Individuals with both diabetes and an APOE ε4 allele are more likely to develop dementia than either those with diabetes alone or non-diabetic individuals who carry the APOE ε4 allele. The risk of dementia for diabetic APOE ε4 carriers is greater than would be predicted by the simple additive effect of the two risk factors [17, 18].
Relatively few studies have examined the interaction of objectively defined diabetes and the APOE ε4 allele as it relates to complex cognitive abilities in non-demented individuals. Small et al. [13], using self-report of diabetes, failed to find an interaction between diabetes and the APOE ε4 allele in multiple cognitive abilities. However, Haan et al. [16], using objective measures of diabetes, found that individuals with both an APOE ε4 allele and diabetes showed a greater decline on the 3MSE than those with neither of these risk factors. Given the fact that the combined influence of diabetes and the APOE ε4 allele may be greater than the influence of either risk factor alone, it is important to examine the combined influence of diabetes and the APOE ε4 allele in a study assessing a variety of domains of cognitive performance.
Our hypotheses were as follows: (1) consistent with the literature, type 2 diabetes will be associated with performance decrement in multiple cognitive domains even with adjustment for CVD risk factors and events; (2) however, there will be an interaction between the presence or absence of APOE ε4 allele and type 2 diabetes such that the difference in cognitive performance between diabetic and non-diabetic individuals will be larger within APOE ε4 carriers (one or two alleles) compared with non-carriers.
Methods
Sample and design
Cross-sectional data were taken from the sixth serial repetition (wave 6) of the Maine–Syracuse Longitudinal Study (MSLS), a community-based study of CVD risk factors and cognition begun in Syracuse, New York, in 1974. Recruitment and data collection procedures for wave 6 have been described in detail previously [19]. The MSLS is an open-enrolment longitudinal study in which new individuals are recruited at each wave. Wave 6 (2001 to 2006) was the first and only wave for which diabetes was determined by objective methods (see below) for all individuals.
Of the 1,060 participants (23 to 98 years of age) eligible for the study at wave 6, participants were excluded in the following sequence: (1) history of stroke (n = 27); (2) probable dementia (n = 7); and (3) under 50 years of age (n = 200). The final sample consisted of 826 participants. Persons under 50 years of age were excluded in the primary analysis because several studies indicate that APOE genotype does not relate to cognitive function in younger individuals [20, 21]. A secondary set of analyses was done with the individuals under 50 years of age included. We did not exclude persons with mild cognitive impairment because we wished to retain the full range of variation in continuously distributed cognitive test scores, while eliminating persons who showed major decrements in performance level and were often unable to complete few, if any, of the tests in our battery (i.e. those with stroke and/or dementia).
Stroke, defined as a focal neurological deficit of acute onset persisting more than 24 h, was based on self-report and was confirmed by a record review indicating a diagnosis of acute stroke. The clinical diagnosis of dementia was based on cognitive data and medical records, using the National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Diseases and Stroke/Alzheimer’s Disease and Related Disorders Association criteria [22].
Procedures
Participants completed the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (CES-D) [23] within 1 week prior to neuropsychological testing. Following a fast from midnight, a blood sample was drawn in the morning and followed by a light breakfast and interview (including medical history). Subsequently, after supine rest for 15 min, five reclining, five standing, and five sitting automated blood pressure measurements (GE DINAMAP 100DPC-120XEN; GE Healthcare, Chalfont St Giles, UK) were obtained sequentially with a 5 min interval between each set of measurements. Neuropsychological testing followed the BP measurements. Tests were presented in the same order for each individual because of the necessity of uniform sequencing and standard presentation of the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale subtests, the Wechsler Memory Scale subtests, trails A and B and other measures. Brief rest periods were given whenever participants appeared to be in need of a rest before continuing. The order of presentation for all of the individual tests is given in Electronic supplementary material (ESM) Table 1. All assay methods used to derive data on independent variables and covariates have been described previously [19]. Diabetes mellitus was defined by treatment with insulin, oral glucose-lowering agents, or by fasting glucose level of 7 mmol/l or higher. Objective data on duration of diabetes were not available to the study, but persons with diabetes at wave 6 (objectively defined) were asked to estimate the duration of their diabetes and this was used as a descriptive variable. For diabetic participants, glycaemic control was defined as 3.9–7.2 mmol/l preprandial or <10 mmol/l postprandial plasma glucose, in accordance with glycaemic recommendations outlined by the American Diabetes Association [24].
Standard APOE genotyping used polymerase chain reaction and restriction enzyme digest with HhaI [25]. Serum creatinine was determined using a two-point rate test type on a Johnson and Johnson VITROS instrument (Ortho Clinical Diagnostics, Rochester, NY, USA). Coefficients of variation for these procedures were less than 5.0%. Estimated glomerular filtration rate was derived from the four-variable (serum creatinine, age, sex and ethnicity) Modification of Diet in Renal Disease study equation [26, 27]. Chronic renal disease (yes/no) was defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml min–1 (1.73 m2)–1. Determinations of high sensitivity C-reactive protein (CRP), plasma homocysteine (tHcy), triacylglycerols and glucose were performed as recently described [19]. Mean systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) were determined by taking the average of 15 BP measurements (described previously).
Additional covariates used in various analyses included: BMI (kg/m2), self-report of number of cigarettes smoked per week, alcohol consumption (g/week), and self-reported presence of CVD confirmed by medical records and/or treatment. As in the Framingham Heart Study [28], CVD was defined as the presence of any one of the following: (1) myocardial infarction (4.5%); (2) coronary artery disease (8.8%); (3) heart failure (2.4%); (4) angina pectoris (5.9%); (5) transient ischaemic attack (4.1%).
Cognitive tests and domains
We employed the MMSE, the similarities subtest from the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale, and four composite test scores derived from a previous factor analysis of individual tests in the MSLS battery for this study population [19]. The four composite scores were visual–spatial memory and organisation (visual reproductions—immediate and delayed, matrix reasoning, block design, object assembly, and the Hooper Visual Organization Test), scanning and tracking (trails A and B, digit symbol substitution, and symbol search), verbal episodic memory (logical memory—immediate and delayed, and the Hopkins Verbal Learning Test) and working memory (digit span forward and backward, letter–number sequencing, and controlled oral word associations). The similarities subtest was used as a separate measure because it loaded on multiple composite scores in the previous factor analysis. In addition to the factor analyses, reducing the number of outcome variables, we followed a protection rule in which none of the results for individual tests would be interpreted in the absence of a significant result for the global composite score.
More detailed descriptions of the individual tests are given in Table 1. To construct the composite scores, the individual tests related to each composite were expressed in z scores and added [19]. The composite scores were again transformed to z scores. Composite scores were used to decrease error associated with analyses involving multiple related cognitive outcomes and to permit us to examine theoretically relevant cognitive domains.
This linear transformation results in a mean of zero and an SD of 1.00 for each test and enables expression of regression coefficients for the cognitive measures in terms of SD units. The previously identified composites (factors) [19] were confirmed via replication of the factor analysis for the present sample. In addition to composite scores, a global composite score was calculated by averaging the z scores for all individual tests (excluding the MMSE). The MMSE was considered to be a separate measure of mental status.
The University of Maine Institutional Review Board approved the protocol for this investigation. Informed consent for data collection was obtained from all participants.
Statistical analyses
The independent variables were APOE genotype (classified as ε4 carrier or ε4 non-carrier) and diabetes. Covariates employed in the primary regression models were age (years), education (years), sex, race/ethnicity (African-American/other), systolic blood pressure (mmHg), smoking (cigarettes per week), triacylglycerols (mmol/l), mild renal dysfunction (yes/no), BMI (kg/m2), alcohol consumption (g/week), depressed mood (CES-D score), CRP (nmol/l), prevalent CVD (yes/no), and tHcy (μmol/l).
These covariates were selected based on their theoretical relevance to the predictors and outcomes of interest (e.g. the association between diabetes and cognitive function may be partially explained by comorbid CVD risk factors). All of these covariates have been shown to predict cognitive function in previous studies. All of the covariates except for age and sex differed across the APOE/diabetes groups.
Using the general linear model (SAS Version 9.1), multivariable regression analyses were performed for the categorical and continuously distributed variables. All covariates within a covariate set entered into the regression equations simultaneously with the independent variable.
The following multivariable regression models were used: (1) \( {\text{basic model}} = {\text{diabetes}} + APOE + {\text{age}}\left( {\text{years}} \right) + {\text{sex}} + {\text{education}} + {\text{race}}/{\text{ethnicity}} + {\text{diabetes}} \times APOE \); (2) \( {\text{basic}} + {\text{risk factor}}\left( {\text{RF}} \right) + {\text{CVD model}} = {\text{basic model}} + {\text{SBP}} + {\text{smoking}} + {\text{triacylglycerols}} + {\text{chronic kidney disease}} + {\text{BMI}} + {\text{alcohol consumption}} + {\text{depressed mood}} + {\text{CRP}} + {\text{prevalent CVD}} + {\text{tHcy}} \). The distributions for CRP and tHcy were skewed, and were normalised with a natural log transformation.
After observing significant diabetes by age interactions (p < 0.05), we stratified by diabetes and APOE ε4 groups and performed multiple comparisons of APOE groups within diabetic groups and diabetic groups within APOE groups. We again followed a protection rule in which none of the individual tests or composite scores would be interpreted in the absence of a statistically significant effect (p < 0.05) for the global composite.
Results
Demographic and health information for the current sample and the results of analyses of study covariates comparing cell means or proportions between the APOE groups for diabetic and non-diabetic participants are provided in Table 2. Significance levels for the remaining contrasts are given in ESM Table 2. Stratification by presence/absence of APOE ε4 allele resulted in 213 carriers of the ε4 allele and 613 non-carriers. In the non-diabetic participants, APOE ε4 carriers had significantly lower CRP levels. In the diabetic participants, APOE ε4 carriers had a significantly higher mean number of cigarettes smoked per week and higher triacylglycerol levels and were significantly younger than APOE ε4 non-carriers. It is important to note that self-reported duration of diabetes in years did not differ between diabetic APOE ε4 carriers and non-carriers, and the non-significant trend was for non-carriers to exhibit a longer duration of diabetes (p = 0.13).
Glucose levels were not significantly different between diabetic APOE ε4 carriers and non-carriers (Table 2), although there was a trend for glucose levels to be higher for diabetic APOE ε4 carriers. However, a higher proportion of the diabetic APOE ε4 carriers were in the glycaemic control range (p = 0.05). Therefore, glycaemic control was used as a covariate in secondary analyses (outlined below).
The number of persons classified into the possible APOE genotypes was as follows: 2/2 (n = 13), 2/3 (n = 99), 2/4 (n = 19), 3/3 (n = 501), 3/4 (n = 167) and 4/4 (n = 27). The APOE ε4 cohort (2/4, 3/4, 4/4) represented 25.8% of our sample. This representation is within the range (24–30%) reported in other studies of APOE [16, 29, 30].
Mean cognitive scores for non-diabetic and diabetic individuals with adjustment for variables in the basic and basic + RF + CVD models are shown in Table 3. For both models, diabetic individuals performed significantly more poorly on all composite scores except for the verbal memory composite.
Cognitive score means adjusted for the basic and basic + RF + CVD models by APOE group are shown in Table 4. For the basic model, APOE ε4 carriers performed more poorly than non-carriers on the global and verbal memory composites and the MMSE. With adjustment for the basic + RF + CVD covariate set, no significant associations between APOE genotype and cognitive outcome variables were observed, although the trend was for APOE ε4 carriers to perform more poorly.
Significant diabetes × APOE interactions were obtained for the global composite (p = 0.004), the working memory composite (p < 0.001), the verbal memory composite (p = 0.025), similarities (p = 0.046), and the MMSE (p = 0.008) scores. A marginal interaction was also observed for the scanning and tracking composite (p = 0.088). Therefore, the remaining analyses for these six variables were done with stratification by diabetes and APOE status.
Figure 1 illustrates the nature of the APOE ε4 by diabetes interaction with adjustment for the basic covariate set. For all cognitive outcomes with the exception of the visual–spatial memory and organisation (Fig. 1), diabetic APOE ε4 carriers performed significantly worse than diabetic APOE ε4 non-carriers (p range = <0.001–0.02). In the non-diabetic subsample, no difference between the APOE groups was observed for any of the cognitive measures (all p>0.35). Within APOE ε4 carriers, participants with diabetes performed worse than those without diabetes on all cognitive measures shown in Fig. 1 (all p<0.01). Results were similar within APOE ε4 non-carriers; however, diabetic and non-diabetic participants did not differ in performance on the working memory (p = 0.23) or the verbal memory (p = 0.95) composites.
With adjustment for the basic + RF + CVD covariate set (data not shown), the pattern of significant results was the same with two exceptions: within APOE ε4 non-carriers, diabetic and non-diabetic participants did not differ significantly in performance on the similarities subtest (p = 0.22) or the MMSE (p = 0.30).
To address the possibility that diabetes × APOE interactions may be due to poorer glycaemic control in the APOE carriers, we performed two secondary analyses within the diabetic sample using the definition of glycaemic control given above. The glycaemic control variable (yes/no) did not relate to any of the cognitive variables (all p>0.47). Further, with glycaemic control as a covariate, the relationship between APOE genotype and cognitive outcome variables within diabetic patients was significant (p < 0.05) for all cognitive outcomes, with the exception of the visual–spatial memory and organisation composite (p = 0.09).
Results were also the same regardless of the substitution of the various lipid subtypes for triacylglycerols in the models and when hypertensive diagnostic status (BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg or treatment) was included in the model.
Given the relatively small number of African-American persons in the study and the possibility that statistical adjustment would not adequately control for race/ethnicity, we excluded all African-American individuals and repeated the analyses. The pattern of means for the diabetes/APOE groups was the same as that presented in Fig. 1, except that the diabetes × APOE interaction was significant for only the following three composites: global (p = 0.05), verbal memory (p = 0.04) and working memory (p = 0.004).
In a final analysis, the previously excluded individuals under the age of 50 were included in the analysis. As anticipated [20], no APOE main effects were observed, and there were fewer interactions, i.e. the diabetes × APOE interaction was significant only for the global (p = 0.04) and working memory composites (p = 0.01), and the MMSE (p = 0.04), and was marginal for similarities (p = 0.07). ESM Figure 1 shows the pattern of means for this analysis.
Discussion
APOE genotype was associated with decrements in cognitive performance for the global and verbal memory composites and the MMSE. This finding is in agreement with previous studies reporting relations between APOE genotype and cognitive function [8, 31].
Also consistent with previous findings [2, 4, 32], and as hypothesised, mean performance scores were lower for the diabetic than for the non-diabetic group for MMSE, the similarities subtest and each of the cognitive composite scores, with the exception of the verbal memory composite.
Also as hypothesised, APOE status served as an effect modifier (i.e. the relationship between diabetes and lower cognitive performance was greater for individuals who carried one or more APOE ε4 alleles with adjustment for age, education, sex and race/ethnicity). The same result was observed with adjustment for the basic + CVD + RF covariate set and the alternative covariates introduced in the secondary analyses. Moreover, the same finding was observed when the participants excluded (those aged under 50 years) were admitted to the study, except that fewer cognitive measures were statistically significant.
APOE ε4 has been shown to modify the risk of longitudinal cognitive decline in 3MSE scores associated with other risk factors, including diabetes [16]. Further, previous investigations have demonstrated that individuals with both diabetes and an APOE ε4 allele are at higher risk for dementia [17, 18]. The current study indicates that the combination of these two risk factors leads to lower levels of cognitive function within the normal (i.e. non-demented) range of cognitive function and that this is true for measures of greater difficulty, including several measures that do not have the ceiling effects observed with MMSE measures. The finding of a significant interaction of APOE ε4 and diabetes parallels previous studies in which APOE genotype modified the association of CVD risk factors such as tHcy [33], peripheral vascular disease and atherosclerosis [16] with cognitive function.
One possibility for the modification of the association between diabetes and cognition by the presence of one or more APOE ε4 alleles relates to increased β-amyloid (Aβ) deposition in individuals with diabetes. Insulin-degrading enzyme (IDE) degrades β-amyloid. Thus, the increased insulin levels associated with diabetes may result in less IDE available for the regulation of Aβ [34]. A recent neuroimaging study indicates that Aβ levels are associated with cognitive impairment in non-demented individuals [35]. Furthermore, Alzheimer’s disease patients with an APOE ε4 allele exhibit lower levels of IDE in the hippocampus than those without an APOE ε4 allele [36]. It has been suggested that increased Aβ deposition may result both from the decreased expression of IDE in individuals with an APOE ε4 allele and the decreased IDE levels caused by increased use of IDE for insulin regulation in individuals with diabetes, thus leading to higher levels of Alzheimer’s disease pathology in participants with both diabetes and APOE [18]. This hypothesis as it relates to diabetes is weakened by postmortem studies that have found no association between diabetes and Aβ load [37, 38].
However, diabetes has been associated with other brain changes, including white matter lesions [39] and the APOE ε4 allele has been associated with increased deposition of both Aβ plaques and neurofibrillary tangles [38, 40]. Therefore, the decreased levels of cognitive function observed for the diabetic APOE ε4 carriers may be due to increased levels of vascular pathology in diabetic individuals and Aβ plaque deposition in APOE ε4 carriers.
Another possible mechanism involves neuronal damage and repair. Diabetic encephalopathy is a recognised consequence of diabetes and is associated with neuronal damage in the central nervous system, as well as cognitive deficits [5]. The mechanism of neuronal damage is thought to be related to the effects of hyperglycaemia, namely oxidative stress and the accumulation of advanced glycation endproducts (AGE). The APOE ε4 genotype has been implicated in impaired neuronal repair [41] and in altered binding of AGE [42]. It is therefore possible that diabetes may have a more pronounced effect or progress more rapidly in individuals with impaired neuronal repair mechanisms (i.e. APOE ε4 carriers). However, the possibility that poor glycaemic control explains our results loses plausibility by virtue of the fact that results were the same with and without glycaemic control in the model and the glycaemic control variable did not relate significantly to any of the outcome measures. However, we obtained only one measure of glycaemic control (i.e. glucose) at the time of cognitive testing. Consequently, the poor glycaemic control hypothesis should be considered in further research.
Our community-based study did not have the necessary data to explore the possibility that these underlying mechanisms explain our findings but, hopefully, will promote studies designed to examine these possibilities. Clearly, longitudinal studies are important to resolve inconsistent findings in the literature with regard to the relation between APOE ε4 genotype and cognitive performance in non-demented individuals.
Limitations of the current study are as follows. First, the design was cross-sectional, which does not allow for the study of change in cognition over time, an examination of incidence of diabetes or the objective measurement of diabetes duration. Second, relatively high levels of education in our sample may have resulted in an underestimation of the associations observed. Third, there was a lack of power to examine associations between diabetes and cognitive function for APOE ε4 carriers with one vs two alleles. Fourth, because this was not a planned clinical study of diabetes, we did not have data on standard clinical variables (e.g. HbA1c), which would have been useful when relating diabetes to cognitive performance. Fifth, there were too few non-treated diabetic participants to permit adjustment of results for treatment of diabetes (n = 16 and n = 6 in the non-APOE ε4 and APOE ε4 groups, respectively).
Strengths of the current study include a community-based sample, a relatively large number of cardiovascular disease covariates available for the various models, objective measures of diabetes and a comprehensive cognitive test battery allowing the ability to examine multiple cognitive domains in relation to diabetes and APOE ε4 for persons free from dementia.
Further investigation into the mechanisms responsible for the observed modification of the relation between diabetes and cognition by presence of the APOE ε4 alleles is important, as are community-based studies examining longitudinal change in cognitive performance in relation to diabetes and the presence of one or more APOE ε4 alleles. Longitudinal studies will inform us as to whether cognitive deficits associated with the presence of the APOE ε4 allele in patients with diabetes result in progressive cognitive deficit. Our findings do not suggest that presence of an APOE ε4 allele in the absence of diabetes is unimportant, but rather that the presence of one or more APOE ε4 alleles may raise the risk of cognitive dysfunction among diabetic persons. This finding has important clinical and public health implications. Information on APOE ε4 status is an important consideration in the treatment of diabetes as it relates to the prevention of cognitive deficit given that lowered cognitive performance is itself a predictor of dementia [43–45].
Abbreviations
- 3MSE:
-
Modified Mini-Mental State Examination
- Aβ :
-
β-Amyloid
- AGE:
-
Advanced glycation endproducts
- CES-D:
-
Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale
- CRP:
-
C-reactive protein
- CVD:
-
Cardiovascular disease
- DBP:
-
Diastolic blood pressure
- IDE:
-
Insulin degrading enzyme
- MMSE:
-
Mini-Mental State Examination
- MSLS:
-
Maine–Syracuse Longitudinal Study
- RF:
-
Risk factor
- SBP:
-
Systolic blood pressure
- tHcy:
-
Plasma homocysteine
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Acknowledgements
This study was supported in part by the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute (grant numbers HL67358, HL81290); and the National Institute on Aging (grant number AG03055). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute, the National Institute on Aging, or the National Institutes of Health. The authors wish to thank S. Brennan (University of Maine, Orono, ME, USA) for assistance with data collection, and A. Goodell and D. Briggeman (University of Maine, Orono, ME, USA) for assistance with copyediting.
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An erratum to this article can be found at http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00125-009-1531-4
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Dore, G.A., Elias, M.F., Robbins, M.A. et al. Presence of the APOE ε4 allele modifies the relationship between type 2 diabetes and cognitive performance: the Maine–Syracuse Study. Diabetologia 52, 2551–2560 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00125-009-1497-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00125-009-1497-2