Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

The Seismicity in the Southern Tyrrhenian Area and its Neural Forecasting

  • Published:
pure and applied geophysics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

—The Southern Tyrrhenian basin is a region characterized by complex tectonics and large-scale geodynamic deformations, and its seismicity has been recently recognized as following fractal laws in its five dimensional set (magnitude, time and space). In particular, the time occurrences of earthquakes are found to follow a significant fractal clustering within the interval ranging from 16 minutes to 24 hours; for longer intervals, the time clustering regime was not significantly different from that of a random process. An artificial neural network is applied here to the same seismicity data set and further evidence of the nonlinear dynamic process, for which the fractal approach failed, is obtained. The monthly values of magnitude predicted by extrapolation are found to be in fair agreement with the historical data.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute for Research on Parallel Information Systems (IRSIP)—National Research Council of Italy (CNR), Via P. Castellino 111, 80131 Naples, Italy., , , , , , IT

    I. De Falco, A. Iazzetta & E. Tarantino

  2. Department of Geophysics and Volcanology, University of Naples “Federico II,” Largo San Marcellino, 10, 80138 Naples, Italy., , , , , , IT

    G. Luongo & A. Mazzarella

Authors
  1. I. De Falco
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. A. Iazzetta
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. G. Luongo
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. A. Mazzarella
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  5. E. Tarantino
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Additional information

Received October 29, 1998, accepted May 6, 1999

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

De Falco, I., Iazzetta, A., Luongo, G. et al. The Seismicity in the Southern Tyrrhenian Area and its Neural Forecasting . Pure appl. geophys. 157, 343–355 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1007/s000240050003

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s000240050003

Search

Navigation