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A Warning System for Stromboli Volcano Based on Statistical Analysis

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Abstract

In this paper we describe a warning system based on statistical analysis for the purpose of monitoring ground deformation at the Sciara del Fuoco (Stromboli Volcano, Sicily). After a statistical analysis of ground deformation time-series measured at Stromboli by the monitoring system known as THEODOROS (THEOdolite and Distancemeter Robot Observatory of Stromboli), the paper describes the solution adopted for implementing the warning system. A robust statistical index has been defined in order to evaluate the movements of the area. A fuzzy approach has been proposed to evaluate an AI (Alarm Intensity) index which indicates the level of hazard of the Sciara del Fuoco sliding.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Dipartimento di Ingegneria Elettrica Elettronica e dei Sistemi, Università degli studi di Catania, Viale, A. Doria 6, 95123, Catania, Italy

    Giuseppe Nunnari & Alessandro Spata

  2. Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Catania, Piazza Roma, 2, 95123, Catania, Italy

    Giuseppe Puglisi

Authors
  1. Giuseppe Nunnari
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  2. Giuseppe Puglisi
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  3. Alessandro Spata
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Correspondence to Giuseppe Puglisi.

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Nunnari, G., Puglisi, G. & Spata, A. A Warning System for Stromboli Volcano Based on Statistical Analysis. Pure appl. geophys. 165, 1619–1641 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-008-0392-y

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-008-0392-y

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