Skip to main content
Log in

The Effects Of Inflation And Interest Rates On Delay Discounting In Human Behavior

  • Published:
The Psychological Record Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Interest and inflation rates may be major determinants of delay discounting, but these variables have not been controlled in past experiments because they depend on macroeconomic conditions. This study uses a computer game-like task to investigate the effects of inflation rates on people’s subjective valuation of delayed rewards. During the task, participants saved virtual money, received interest, and bought items under inflation and interest rate conditions controlled by the experimenter. The subjective values participants placed on delayed rewards were measured during choice periods, after participants learned of item price changes and expected interest earnings. In 2 of 3 experiments, the effects of inflation rates were investigated when the nominal interest rate (Experiment 1) or the real interest rate (Experiment 3) was constant across the 3 experimental conditions (inflationary, zero-inflationary, and deflationary). The effect of nominal interest rates under the deflationary condition was also investigated (Experiment 2). The results suggest that inflation and interest rates affect participants’ subjective discounting of delayed rewards.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • FREDERICK, S., LOEWENSTEIN, G., & O’DONOGHUE, T. (2003). Time discounting and time preference: A critical review. In G. Loewenstein, D. Read, & R. F. Baumeister (Eds.), Time and decision: Economic and psychological perspectives on intertemporal choice (pp. 13–86). New York: Russell Sage Foundation.

    Google Scholar 

  • HARRISON, G. W., LAU, M. I., & WILLIAMS, M. B. (2000). Estimating individual discount rates for Denmark: A field experiment. American Economic Review, 92, 1606–1617.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. (1998). International Financial Statistics, 51.

  • JAMES, J., & WEBBER, N. (2000). Interest rate modeling. Chichester, England: John Wiley & Sons.

    Google Scholar 

  • LOWENSTEIN, G., & PRELEC, D. (1992). Anomalies in intertemporal choice: Evidence and an interpretation. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107, 573–597.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • MAZUR, J. E. (1987). An adjusting procedure for studying delayed reinforcement. In M. L. Gommons, J. E. Mazur, J. A. Nevin, & H. Rachlin (Eds.), Quantitative analyses of behavior: The effect of delay and of intervening events on reinforcement value (Vol. 5, pp. 55–73). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.

    Google Scholar 

  • MYERSON, J., GREEN, L., HANSON, J. S., HOLT, D. D., & ESTLE, S. J. (2003). Discounting delayed and probabilistic rewards: process and traits. Journal of Economic Psychology, 24, 619–635.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • MYERSON, J., GREEN, L., & WARUSAWITHARANA, M. (2001). Area under the curve as a measure of discounting. Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Behavior, 76, 235–243.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • OSTASZEWSKI, P., GREEN, L., & MYERSON, J. (1998). Effects of inflation on the subjective value of delayed and probabilistic rewards. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 5, 324–333.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • RACHLIN, H., RAINERI, A., & CROSS, D. (1991). Subjective probability and delay. Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Behavior, 55, 233–244.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • RICHARDS, J. B., ZHANG, L., MITCHELL, S. H., & DE WIT, H. (1999). Delay or probability discounting in a model of impulsive behavior: effect of alcohol. Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Behavior, 71, 121–143.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • SHAFIR, E., DIAMOND, P., & TVERSKY, A. (1997). Money illusion. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112, 341–374.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Kentaro Kawashima.

Additional information

Preparation of the manuscript was supported by a Waseda University Grant for Special Research Projects (2004A-373).

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Kawashima, K. The Effects Of Inflation And Interest Rates On Delay Discounting In Human Behavior. Psychol Rec 56, 551–568 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03396033

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03396033

Navigation