Skip to main content
Log in

Statistical Power: Derivation, Development, and Data-Analytic Implications

  • Published:
The Psychological Record Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In 1933, Neyman and Pearson introduced the interrelated concepts of statistical power and Type II error in response to a fundamental asymmetry in the hypothesis testing process. With few exceptions, however, statistical power did not become a regular textbook inclusion until some 30 years later. Modern concern for power evolved naturally from the “significance test controversy,” and was further stimulated by Cohen’s (1962) review in the Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology. To date, eight power-analytic surveys have been conducted. Generally, the average power estimates derived from these analyses have been quite low. Providing sufficient power serves to decrease the commission of Type II errors, and may prevent misinterpretations of nonsignificant results. Including statistical power in the design and analysis of an experiment requires an a priori estimate of the effect size, as well as calculating obtained effect size. The obtained effect size reflects the relationship between the independent and dependent variables, and as such provides a better characterization of the research effort than does reporting only the significance level.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • BAKAN, D. 1966. The test of significance in psychological research. Psychological Bulletin, 66, 432–437.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • BERKSON, J. 1942. Tests of significance considered as evidence. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 37, 325–335.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • BREWER, J. K. 1972. On the power of statistical tests in the American Educational Research Journal. American Educational Research Journal, 9, 381–401.

    Google Scholar 

  • CHANDLER, R. E. 1957. The statistical concepts of confidence and significance. Psychological Bulletin, 54, 429–430.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • CHASE, L. J., & BARAN, S. J. 1976. An assessment of quantitative research in mass communication. Journalism Quarterly, 53, 308–311.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • CHASE, L. J., & CHASE, R. B. 1976. A statistical power analysis of applied psychological research. Journal of Applied Psychology, 61, 234–237.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • CHASE, L. J., & TUCKER, R. K. 1975. A power-analytic examination of contemporary communication research. Speech Monographs, 42, 29–41.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • CLARK, C. A. 1963. Hypothesis testing in relation to statistical methodology. Review of Educational Research, 33, 455–473.

    Google Scholar 

  • COHEN, J. 1962. The statistical power of abnormal-social psychological research: A review. Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology, 65, 145–153.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • COHEN, J. 1965. Some statistical issues in psychological research. In B. B. Wolman (Ed.), Handbook of clinical psychology. New York: McGraw-Hill.

    Google Scholar 

  • COHEN, J. 1969. Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences. New York: Academic Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • COHEN, J. 1970. Approximate sample size determination for common one-sample and two-sample hypothesis tests. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 30, 811–831.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • COHEN, J. 1973. Statistical power analysis and research results. American Educational Research Journal, 10, 225–229.

    Google Scholar 

  • COX, D. R. 1948. Some problems connected with statistical inference. Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 29, 357–372.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • DAYTON, C. M., SCHAFER, W. D., & ROGERS, G. G. 1973. On appropriate uses and interpretations of power analysis: A comment. American Educational Research Journal, 10, 231–234.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • DIXON, W. J., & MASSEY, F. J., Jr. 1957. Introduction to statistical analysis. New York: McGraw-Hill.

    Google Scholar 

  • FISHER, R. 1935. The design of experiments. London: Oliver and Boyd.

    Google Scholar 

  • FISHER, R. 1950. Contributions to mathematical statistics. London: Chapman and Hall.

    Google Scholar 

  • FISHER, R. 1955. Statistical methods and scientific induction. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 17, 69–78.

    Google Scholar 

  • FRIEDMAN, H. A. 1968. Magnitude of experimental effect and a table for its rapid estimation. Psychological Bulletin, 70, 245–251.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • GOLD, D. 1958. Comment on “A critique of tests of significance”. American Sociological Review, 23, 85–86.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • HOGBEN, L. 1957. Statistical theory: The relationship of probability, credibility, and error. An examination of the contemporary crisis in statistical theory from a behaviorist viewpoint. New York: W. W. Norton.

    Google Scholar 

  • KATZER, J., & SODT, J. 1973. An analysis of the use of statistical testing in communication research. Journal of Communication, 23, 251–265.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • KENDALL, P. 1957. Note on significance tests. Appendix C in R. K. Merton, G. C. Reader, & P. Kendall (Eds.), The student physician. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • KISH, L. 1959. Some statistical problems in research design. American Sociological Review, 24, 328–338.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • KROLL, R. M., & CHASE, L. J. 1975. Communication disorders: A power analytic assessment of recent research. Journal of Communication Disorders, 8, 237–247.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • LABOVITZ, S. 1968. Criteria for selecting a significance level: A note on the sacredness of.05. The American Sociologist, 3, 220–222.

    Google Scholar 

  • LIPSET, S. M., TROW, M., & COLEMAN, J. S. 1956. Statistical problems. Appendix 1-B in Union democracy. Glencoe, Ill.: The Free Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • LYKKEN, D. 1968. Statistical significance in psychological research. Psychological Bulletin, 70, 151–159.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • McNEMAR, Q. 1960. At random: sense and nonsense. American Psychologist, 15, 295–300.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • MEEHL, P. E. 1967. Theory testing in psychology and physics: a methodological paradox. Philosophy of Science, 34, 103–115.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • MEYER, D. L. 1974. Statistical tests and surveys of power: A critique. American Educational Research Journal, 11, 179–188.

    Google Scholar 

  • MORRISON, D. E., & HENKEL, R. E. 1970. The significance test controversy—a reader. Chicago: Aldine Publishing Co.

    Google Scholar 

  • NEYMAN, J. 1966. A selection of early statistical papers by J. Neyman. Berkeley: University of California Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • NEYMAN, J., & PEARSON, E. S. 1928. On the use and interpretation of certain test criteria for the purposes of statistical inference. Biometrika, 20A, 175–240, 263–294.

    Google Scholar 

  • NEYMAN, J., & PEARSON, E. S. 1933a. On the problem of the most efficient tests of statistical hypotheses. Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A, 231, 289–337.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • NEYMAN, J., & PEARSON, E. S. 1933b. Testing statistical hypotheses in relation to probabilities a priori. Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society, 29, 492–510.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • NEYMAN, J., & PEARSON, E. S. 1936. Contributions to the theory of testing statistical hypotheses. Statistical Research Memoirs, 1, 1–37.

    Google Scholar 

  • OVERALL, J. E. 1969. Classical statistical hypothesis testing within the context of Bayesian theory. Psychological Bulletin, 71, 285–292.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • OVERALL, J. E., HOLLISTER, L. E., & DALAL, S. N. 1967. Psychiatric drug research. Archives of General Psychiatry, 16, 152–161.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • PEARSON, E. S. 1941. A note on further properties of statistical tests. Biometrika, 32, 59–61.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • RUNYON, R. P. 1969. Minimum sample size required to achieve power 1-B in testing for the significance of a difference in independent proportions. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 28, 247–250.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • SELVIN, H. C. 1957. A critique of tests of significance in survey research. American Sociological Review, 22, 519–527.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • SELVIN, H. C. 1958. Reply to Gold’s comment on “A critique of tests of significance”. American Sociological Review, 23, 86.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • SIDMAN, M. 1960. Tactics of scientific research. New York: Basic Books.

    Google Scholar 

  • SIEGEL, S. 1956. Nonparametric statistics for the behavioral sciences. New York: McGraw-Hill.

    Google Scholar 

  • SKIPPER, J. K., GUENTHER, A. S., & NASS, G. 1967. The sacredness of.05: A note concerning the uses of statistical levels of significance in social science. The American Sociologist, 1, 16–18.

    Google Scholar 

  • STERLING, T. D. 1959. Publication decisions and their possible effects on inferences drawn from tests of significance—or vice versa. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 54, 30–34.

    Google Scholar 

  • TUKEY, J. W. 1954. Unresolved problems of experimental statistics. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 49, 710.

    Google Scholar 

  • TUKEY, J. W. 1960. Conclusions vs. decisions. Technometrics, 2, 423–433.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • TULLOCK, G. 1959. Publication decisions and tests on significance—a comment. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 54, 593.

    Google Scholar 

  • VAN DE VEN, A. H., & DELBECQ, A. L. 1974. The effectiveness of nominal, delphi, and interacting group decision making processes. Academy of Management Journal, 17, 605–621.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • WALD, A. 1939. Contributions to the theory of statistical estimation and testing hypotheses. Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 10, 299–326.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • WALD, A. 1950. Statistical decision functions. New York: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • WALD, A. 1955. Selected papers in statistics and probability. New York: McGraw-Hill.

    Google Scholar 

  • WALKER, H. M., & LEV, J. 1953. Statistical inference. New York: Henry Holt.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • YATES, F. 1951. The influence of statistical methods for research workers on the development of the science of statistics. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 46, 32–33.

    Google Scholar 

  • ZEISEL, H. 1955. The significance of insignificant differences. Public Opinion Quarterly, 19, 319–321.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Chase, L.J., Tucker, R.K. Statistical Power: Derivation, Development, and Data-Analytic Implications. Psychol Rec 26, 473–486 (1976). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03394413

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03394413

Navigation