Abstract
This article assesses the effects of banking on tradable emission permit markets and, in particular, the role of uncertainty in permit markets that allow banking. In such markets, current and future spot trade markets are linked: An increase in uncertainty about future spot markets at first lowers spot prices due to the presence of unregulated agents but soon spurs an increase in spot prices.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Baumol WJ, Oates WE (1988) The theory of environmental policy, 2nd edn. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
Ben-David S, Brookshire D, Burness S, McKee M, Schmidt C (2000) Attitudes toward risk and compliance in emission permit markets. Land Economics 76:590–600
Carlson DA, Sholtz AM (1994) Designing pollution market instruments: a case of uncertainty. Contemporary Economic Policy 12(4):114–125
Cason TN, Plott CR (1996) EPA’s new emissions trading mechanism: a laboratory evaluation. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 30:133–160
Cronshaw MB, Kruse JB (1996) Regulated firms in pollution permit markets with banking. Journal of Regulatory Economics 9:179–186
Cropper ML, Oates WE (1992) Environmental economics: a survey. Journal of Economic Literature 30:675–740
Duffie D (1989) Futures markets. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ
Ellerman AD, Joskow PL, Schmalensee R, Montero JP, Bailey EM (2000) Errors, imperfections and allowance prices. In Markets for clean air: the U.S. acid rain program. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
Godby RW, Mestelman S, Muller RA, Weiland JD (1997) Emissions trading with shares and coupons when control over discharges is uncertain. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 32:359–381
Hagem C, Westkog H (1998) The design of a dynamic tradeable quota system under market imperfections. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 36:89–107
Hennessy DA, Roosen J (1999) Stochastic pollution, permits and merger incentives. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 37:211–232
Hotelling H (1931) The economics of exhaustible resources. Journal of Political Economy 39:137–175
Ingersoll JE (1987) Theory of financial decision making. Rowman & Littlefield, Totowa, NJ
Joskow PL, Schmalensee R, Bailey EM (1998) The market for sulfur dioxide emissions. The American Economic Review 88:669–685
Kennedy PW, Laplante B (1999) Environmental policy and time consistency: emission taxes and emissions trading. Environmental regulation and market power. In: Petrakis E, Sartzetakis ES, Xepapadeas A (eds) Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK, pp 116–144
Klaassen G (1996) Acid rain and environmental degradation: the economics of emission trading. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK
Klaassen G, Nentjes A (1997) Sulphur trading under the 1990 CAA in the US: an assessment of first experiences. Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics 153:384–410
Kling C, Rubin J (1997) Bankable permits for the control of environmental pollution. Journal of Public Economics 64:101–115
Krishna K, Tan LH (1999) Transferable licenses versus nontransferable licenses: what is the difference? International Economic Review 40:785–801
Leiby P, Rubin J (2001) Intertemporal permit trading for the control of greenhouse gas emissions. Environmental & Resource Economics 19:229–256
Maeda A (2001) Domestic greenhouse gas emissions trading markets: forward pricing and banking impacts. IIASA Interim Report: IR-01-048. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
Maeda A (2003) The emergence of market power in emission rights markets: the role of initial permit distribution. Journal of Regulatory Economics 24:293–314
Montero J-P (1998) Marketable pollution permits with uncertainty and transactions costs. Resource and Energy Economics 20:27–50
Montero J-P (2000) Optimal design of a phase-in emissions trading program. Journal of Public Economics 75:273–291
Montgomery DW (1972) Markets in licenses and efficient pollution control programs. Journal of Economic Theory 5:395–418
Rubin JD (1996) A model of intertemporal emission trading, banking, and borrowing. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 31:269–286
Schennach SM (2000) The economics of pollution permit banking in the context of title IV of the 1990 Clean Air Act amendments. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 40:189–210
Schmalensee R, Joskow PL, Denny Ellerman A, Montero J-P, Bailey EM (1998) An interim evaluation of sulfur dioxide emissions trading. Journal of Economic Perspectives 12(3):53–68
Stavins RN (1998) What can we learn from the grand policy experiment? Lessons from SO2 allowance trading. Journal of Economic Perspectives 12(3):69–88
Stevens B, Rose A (2002) A dynamic analysis of the marketable permits approach to global warming policy: a comparison of spatial and temporal flexibility. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 44:45–69
Tietenberg TH (1985) Emissions trading: an exercise in reforming pollution policy. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC
Yates AJ, Cronshaw MB (2001) Pollution permit markets with intertemporal trading and asymmetric information. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 42:104–118
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
About this article
Cite this article
Maeda, A. Impact of banking and forward contracts on tradable permit markets. Environ Econ Policy Stud 6, 81–102 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03353932
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03353932