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The intermediate variables, social structure, and fertility change: A critique

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Demography

Resumen

Existen tres modelos para el análisis comparativo del comportamiento en 10 que se refiere a la fecundidad. Primero, el modelo de Davis y Blake enfoca los mecanismos institucionales en la sociedad y las “variables intermedias” que vinculan dichos mecanismos con la fecundidad. Segundo, Hill, Stycos, y Back utilizan la familia nuclear como la asociación de planeamiento y de toma de decisiones, para desarrollar el marco de referencia de interacción en el estudio del planeamiento familiar en Puerto Rico. Y, tercero, Freedman propone un modelo “normativo” empleando elementos de ambos modelos institucional e interaccional.

En el análisis comparativo de la fecundidad, la elección entre los modelos institucional, interaccional, y normativo, debe tomar en cuenta una apreciación de los méritos y posibles limitaciones de cada uno. Este trabajo constituye un inicio del enjuiciamiento crítico de los modelos existentes.

Mediante una apreciación del enfoque seguido en el modelo institucional de Davis y Blake, este trabajo suqiere, que las formas en que pueden iniciarse o acelerarse los cambios en la fecundidad, radican en otras áreas que no son el cambio institucional por sí mismo, y que las variables demográficas, tecnológicas, institucionales y de información, son las que tienen una importancia básica en la sociología comparativa de la fecundidad.

Summary

There are three models for the comparative analysis of fertility behavior. First, the Davis and Blake model focuses upon institutional mechanisms in society and the “intermediate variables” that link these mechanisms to fertility. Second, Hill, Stycos, and Back use the nuclear family as a planning and decision-making association to develop the interactional frame of reference in studying family planning in Puerto Rico. And, third, Freedman proposes a “normative” model using elements from both institutional and interactional models.

In the comparative analysis of fertility, the choice among the institutional, interactional, and normative models must involve an assessment of the merits and possible limitations of each. This paper is a start in the critical assessment of the existing models.

Through an appraisal of the approach taken in the Davis and Blake Institional model, this paper suggests that ways in which fertility change may be initiated or quickened lie in areas other than institutional change as such, and that it is the demographic, technological, institutional, and information variables that are of substantive consequence in the comparative sociology of fertility.

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Tien, H.Y. The intermediate variables, social structure, and fertility change: A critique. Demography 5, 138–157 (1968). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03208568

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