Abstract
During the two decades extending from the late 1970s, average TFR in Arab countries declined by more than two births per woman. The paper examines changes in the proximate determinants of Arab fertility and evaluates some of the underlying factors that are variously held to have influenced the fertility transition. The proximate and underlying determinants of fertility in Arab countries are compared with those of other regions. Among the factors examined are economic hardship, delayed marriage, and female education and labour force participation. The roles of oil revenues and of the Islamic religion are also considered. An interesting feature is that fertility declined despite continued desires for large families.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Al Ghazali, Mohammed. 2004.The Secret of the Backwardness of Arabs and Muslims. Cairo: Nahdat Misr Press. Sixth Edition. In Arabic.
Allman, James. 1978.Womens Status and Fertility in the Muslim World. New York: Praeger Publishers.
Amin, Galal A. 1995.Egypts Economic Predicament: A Study in the Interaction of External Pressure, Political Folly and Social Tensions in Egypt 1960–1990. Leiden: E. J. Brill
Becker, G. S. 1991.A Treatise on the Family. Cambridge MA: Harvard University Press.
Bongaarts, John. 1978. A framework for analyzing the proximate determinants of fertility.Population and Development Review 4(1): 105–132.
Caldwell, J. C. and P. Caldwell. 1982. Fertility transition with special reference to the ECWA region. Pp 97–117 in United Nations Economic Commission for Western Asia (eds)Population and Development in the Middle East. Beirut: UNECWA.
Casterline, J. B. 2001. The pace of fertility transition: national patterns in the second half of the twentieth century. Pp. 17–52 in R. Bulatao and J. Casterline (eds),Global Fertility Transition. Supplement toPopulation and Development Review 27. New York: Population Council.
Courbage, Youssef. 1994. Fertility transition in Syria: from implicit population policy to explicit economic crisis.International Family Planning Perspectives 20(4): 142–146.
Courbage, Youssef. 1999. Issues in fertility transition in the Middle East and North Africa.Working Paper 9903. Cairo: Economic Research Forum for the Arab Countries, Iran and Turkey.
Eltigani, Eltigani E. 2001a. Childbearing in five Arab countries.Studies in Family Planning 32(1): 17–24.
Eltigani, Eltigani E. 2001b. Levels and trends of fertility in Oman and Yemen. Paper presented to United Nations Population Division Workshop on Prospects of Fertility Decline in High Fertility Countries, New York, 9–11 July.
El-Zanaty, Fatma and Ann A. Way. 2004.2003 Egypt Interim Demographic and Health Survey. Cairo: Ministry of Health and Population [Egypt], National Population Council, El-Zanaty and Associates, and ORC Macro.
Fargues, Philippe. 1989. The decline of Arab fertility.Population (English Selection) 44(1): 147–175.
Fargues, Philippe. 1997. State policies and the birth rate in Egypt: from socialism to liberalism.Population and Development Review 23(1):115–138.
Fargues, Philippe. 2003. Women in Arab countries: challenging the patriarchal system?Population and Societies 387 (February).
Farid, Samir. 1987. A review of the fertility situation in the Arab countries of Western Asia and Northern Africa. Pp. 340–354 in United Nations.Fertility Behaviour in the Context of Development: Evidence from the World Fertility Survey. Population Studies 100 New York: United Nations.
Hallouda, Awad M., Saad Z. Amin and Samir M. Farid. 1983.The Egyptian Fertility Survey, 1980, Vol. 2. Voorburg: International Statistical Institute.
Jones, G. W. and M. Karim (eds). 2005.Islam, the State and Population. London: C. Hurst & Co.
Jordan Department of Statistics and ORC Macro. 2003.Jordan Population and Family Health Survey, 2002. Calverton MD.
Karim, Mehtab S. 1997. Reproductive behavior in Muslim countries.DHS Working Papers 23. Calverton MA: Macro International Inc., and New York: United Nations Population Fund.
Khoja, Tawfig and Samir Farid 2000.Saudi Arabia Family Health Survey 1996. Principal Report. Riyadh: Ministry of Health.
League of Arab States, Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development, Arab Monetary Fund and Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries. 2004.Unified Arab Economic Report, 2004 (in Arabic). Cairo.
Lim, L. L. 2002. Female labour-force participation. Paper presented to UN Population Division Expert Group Meeting on Completing the Fertility Transition, New York, 11–14 March.
McQuillan, Kevin. 2004. When does religion influence fertility?Population and Development Review 30(1): 25–56.
Ministère de la Santé [Maroc], ORC Macro, et Ligue des Etats Arabes. 2005.Enquête sur la Population et la Santé Familiale [EPSF] 2003–2004. Calverton MD.
Ministry of Economy and Planning. 2003.Human Development Report. Riyadh.
Musallam, B. 1983.Sex and Society in Islam: Birth Control before the XIXth Century. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Obermeyer, Carla-Makhlouf. 1992. Islam, women, and politics: the demography of Arab countries.Population and Development Review 18(1): 33–60.
Omran, Abdel-Rahim. 1980.Population in the Arab World: Problems and Prospects. London: Croom Helm.
Omran, Abdel-Rahim 1992.Family Planning in the Legacy of Islam. London: Routledge.
Omran, Abdel-Rahim and Farzaneh Roudi. 1993. The Middle East population puzzle.Population Bulletin. Washington DC: Population Reference Bureau.
Pritchett, L. 1994. Desired fertility and the impact of population policies.Population and Development Review 20(1): 1–55.
Rashad, Hoda. 2000. Demographic transition in Arab countries: a new perspectiveJournal of Population Research 17(1): 83–101.
Rashad, Hoda and Eltigani Eltigani. 2005. Explaining fertility decline in Egypt. Pp. 174–198 in G. Jones and M. Karim (eds),Islam, the State and Population. London: C. Hurst & Co.
Richards, A. and J. Waterbury. 1991.A Political Economy of the Middle East: State, Class, and Economic Development. Cairo: American University in Cairo Press.
Ross, John and John Stover. 2001. The family planning program effort index: 1999 cycle.International Family Planning Perspectives 27(3): 119–129.
Roudi, N. 1988. The demography of Islam.Population Today 6(3): 6–9.
Serageldin, Ismail, James A. Socknat, Stace Birks, Bob Li and Clive A. Sinclair. 1983.Manpower and International Labor Migration in the Middle East and North Africa. World Bank. New York: Oxford University Press.
United Nations. 1987.Fertility Behaviour in the Context of Development: Evidence from the World Fertility Survey. Population Studies 100. New York: United Nations.
United Nations Development Fund for Women (UNIFEM). 2004.Progress of Arab Women. Cairo: Arab States Regional Office.
United Nations Development Programme. 2002.The Arab Human Development Report, 2002: Creating Opportunities for Future Generations. New York.
World Bank. 2004.World Development Indicators, 2004. Washington DC.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Eltigani, E.E. Fertility transition in Arab countries: A re-evaluation. Journal of Population Research 22, 163–183 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03031827
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03031827