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Origin dependence, secondary migration, and the indirect estimation of migration flows from population stocks

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Abstract

US census data from 1940 to 2000 are used in this paper to illustrate the importance of origin dependence on migration streams and to examine the effects of such dependence on patterns of interregional migration. These findings are then used to make possible the indirect estimation of migration flows. A method is introduced that uses historical regularities found in the ratios of secondary to primary migration and two consecutive birthplace-specific counts of multiregional population stocks. The results demonstrate how patterns of primary and secondary migration act to shape population redistribution processes.

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Correspondence to Andrei Rogers.

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Rogers, A., Raymer, J. Origin dependence, secondary migration, and the indirect estimation of migration flows from population stocks. Journal of Population Research 22, 1–19 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03031801

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