Summary
Some have argued that population growth deters development, while others claim that population growth either aids development or has no significant effect on development. In a sample of South Pacific nations, population growth and size were found to be unrelated to economic development, defined as GDP per capita. However, when indices of quality of life or social development such as mortality, health services and education were used, population growth and size were found to be negatively related to these indices. If these “quality of life” indices are valued by nations, an argument may exist for policy support for family planning.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
AHLBURG, D.A. (1986a), “Population and Economic Development in Island Nations of the South Pacific”, in R.V. COLE and T.G. PARRY (eds), Selected Issues in Pacific Island Development, National Centre for Development Studies, Australian National University, Canberra.
AHLBURG, D.A. (1986b), “The Impact of Population Growth on Economic Development: Evidence from Macroeconomic-demographic Models”, in R.D. LEE and D.G. JOHNSON (eds), Population Growth and Economic Development, University of Wisconsin Press, Madison.
AHLBURG, D.A. (1987), “Population forecasts for South Pacific nations using autoregressive models 1985–2000”, Journal of the Australian Population Association, 4: 157–67.
AHLBURG, D.A. (1988), “An analysis of the population crisis committee’s international human suffering index”, Working Paper, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis.
ARTHUR, W.B. and MCNICOLL, G. (1975), “Large scale simulation models in population and development: What use to planners?”, Population and Development Review, 4: 251–65.
BEDFORD, R. (1972), “Social aspects of population change and development in small island countries of the ESCAP/SPC region”, in ESCAP, Asian Population Studies Series, No.52, United Nations, New York.
BIRDSALL, N. (1977), “Analytical approaches to the relationship of population growth and development”, Population and Development Review, 3(1/2): 63–102.
BORRIE, W.D. (1967), “Malthusian reflections on the South Pacific”, Transactions of the Royal Society of New Zealand, 2: 12–30.
BOSERUP, E. (1981), Population and Technology Change, University of Chicago Press, Chicago.
CALDWELL, J.C. (1986), “Routes to low mortality in poor countries”, Population and Development Review, 12: 171–220.
CALDWELL, J.C, HARRISON, G.E. and QUIGGIN, P. (1980), “The demography of micro states”, World Development, 8: 953–67.
CASSEN, R.H. (1976), “Population and development: A survey”, World Development, 4(10/11): 785–830.
CLARK, C. (1978), “Population Growth and Productivity”, in J. SIMON (ed), Research in Population Economics, Vol.1, JAI Press, Greenwich.
COALE, A.J. and HOOVER, E.M. (1958), Population Growth and Economic Development in Low Income Countries, Princeton University Press, Princeton.
ELEK, A. (1978), A Simulation Model for Long-Term Policy Formation in Papua New Guinea, Research School of Pacific Studies, Australian National University, Canberra.
EPSTEIN, M.J. (1982), Statistical Analysis, Scott, Foresman and Company, Glenview.
HORLACHER, D.E. (1982), Population and Development Modeling, United Nations, New York.
HOTELLING, H. and PABST, M.R. (1936), “Rank correlation and tests of significance involving no assumption of normality”, Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 7: 29–43.
JASSO, G. and ROSENZWEIG, M.R. (1986), “What’s in a name? Country of origin influences on earnings of immigrants in the United States”, Research in Human Capital and Development, 5: 75–106.
JONES, G.W. (1982), “Review of the integration of population and development policies and programs in Asia”, Occasional Paper No.30, Development Studies Centre, Australian National University, Canberra.
KUZNETS, S. (1966), Modern Economic Growth, Yale University Press, New Haven.
MASON, A. (1986), “Population growth, economic development, and family planning”, Asian and Pacific Population Forum, 1(1): 1–6.
MASON, A., SUITS, D.B., K00, S-Y, OGAWA, N., PHANANIRAMAI, M., and SIGIT, H. (1986), Population Growth and Economic Development; Lessons for Selected Asian Countries, United Nations Fund for Population Activities, Policy Development Studies, No.10.
MCNICOLL, G. (1984), “Consequences of rapid population growth: Overview and assessment”, Population and Development Review, 10(2): 177–240.
MORRIS, M.D. (1979), Measuring the Condition of the World’s Poor, Pergamon Press, New York.
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (1976), Measuring Social Well-Being: A Progress Report on the Development of Social Indicators, OECD, Paris.
PRESTON, S.H. (1982), “Review of ‘The Ultimate Resource’”, Population and Development Review, 8(1): 174–7.
PRESTON, S.H. (1986), “Are the Economic Consequences of Population Growth a Sound Basis for Population Policy?”, in J. MENKEN (ed.), World Population and US Policy, W.W. Norton, New York.
RODGERS, G.B., WERY, R. and HOPKINS, M.J.D. (1975), “The myth of the cavern revisited: Are large-scale models useful?” Population and Development Review, 2: 395–409.
SANDERSON, W.C. (1980), Economic Demographic Simulation Models: A Review of their Usefulness for Policy Analysis, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Luxemburg, Austria.
SIMON, J.L. (1977), The Economics of Population Growth, Princeton University Press, Princeton.
SIMON, J.L. (1981), The Ultimate Resource, Princeton University Press, Princeton.
SOUTH PACIFIC COMMISSION (1982), South Pacific Economies, 1980: A Statistical Summary, Edition No.6, Noumea.
WHEELER, D. (1984), Human Resource Policies, Economic Growth, and Demographic Change in Developing Countries, Clarendon Press, Oxford.
Working Group on Population Growth and Economic Development (1986), Population Growth and Economic Development: Policy Questions, National Academy Press, Washington, DC.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Ahlburg, D.A. Is population growth a deterrent to development in the South Pacific?. Journal of Population Research 5, 46–57 (1988). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03029385
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03029385