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Simulating the effect of demographic events on the household composition

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Abstract

The aim of this paper is to measure the effects on household composition of changes in demographic events, e.g. mortality, fertility, marriage, divorce. British household data are taken from the General Household Survey and aged by simulation to 2001 using a ‘Most Likely’ model. Subsequently different assumptions of each demographic event are taken from 1991 so that the effects of perturbations within each event can be studied. Special features of the simulation model are the differentiations between cohabitation and marriage and separation and divorce, and the detailed breakdowns of household types such as lone parents into single and previously married women and men with children aged 0–4, 5–15 and 16 and over.

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Material from the General Household Survey was made available through the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys and the ESRC Data Archive has been used by permission of the Controller of H.M. Stationery Office.

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Spicer, K., Diamond, I. & Bhrolchain, M.N. Simulating the effect of demographic events on the household composition. Journal of Population Research 9, 173–184 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03029368

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