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The victorian population projection framework

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Abstract

The Victorian Department of the Treasury has responsibility for preparation of demographic forecasts for use by state government departments and agencies. This paper provides a detailed description of the projection system and models developed by Treasury to produce population and household forecasts for the state, statistical divisions and statistical Local Areas of Victoria. Particular emphasis is given to use of a ‘tops down’ approach to integrate projections at different geographic levels, methods of reconciling forecasts of household growth with land supply and techniques used to project inter-SLA migration flows in a multi-regional cohort-component framework.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Telecom Spatial Decision Systems, Locked Bag 27, Box Hill, 3128, Victoria

    Peter Davenport

  2. Department of the Treasury, 1 Treasury Place, 3000, Melbourne, Victoria

    John O’Leary

Authors
  1. Peter Davenport
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  2. John O’Leary
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Davenport, P., O’Leary, J. The victorian population projection framework. Journal of Population Research 9, 131–152 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03029366

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03029366

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