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The abs population projections: Overview and evaluation

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Abstract

The paper provides a brief history of the ABS projection services in the context of its role as the central statistical agency in Australia. It also presents an overview of the methodology used for generating the projections and details the procedures used for compiling the various components of change incorporated in the projections.

The accuracy of the ABS past projections is assessed by comparing their results, both at the national and state/territory levels, with corresponding estimated resident population figures. The paper also describes the range of projection services currently provided by the ABS, lists present unmet needs and indicates some of the developments likely to occur in the future in satisfying unmet demand, consolidation of existing services and dissemination of output.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Demography Section Australian Bureau of Statistics, PO Box 10, ACT 2616, Belconnen, Australia

    Abbas Y. Adam

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  1. Abbas Y. Adam
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Views expressed in the paper are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those of the Australian Bureau of Statistics. I am grateful to Dr. Ching Choi of the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, and Phil Trickett of the Demography Section in the ABS for their valuable comments; also the two referees for their useful suggestions. Thanks are due to Debbie Cullen who typed the paper and incorporated the repeated changes to it with unfailing patience.

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Adam, A.Y. The abs population projections: Overview and evaluation. Journal of Population Research 9, 109–130 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03029365

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