Skip to main content
Log in

Have we reduced the risk of getting cancer or of dying from cancer? An update

  • Chemical Cancer Risks
  • Published:
Medical Oncology and Tumor Pharmacotherapy Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

We have examined trends in cancer mortality, incidence and survival in the United States to update our earlier work and respond to criticisms. [Bailar, J. C., Smith, E. M.:New Engl. J. Med. 314, 1226 (1986)]. Here we concentrate on the years 1975–1984, and show that overall cancer mortality has increased, incidence has increased and case survival is virtually unchanged. This generally unfavorable picture is scarcely changed when lung cancer is excluded from the trends. While trends for individual cancers have been mixed,overall progress in both curative treatment and prevention has been minimal. This evaluation does not deny the marked progress in treating some uncommon forms of cancer, improved palliations, reduced extent or severity of treatment, or benefits of cancer research that can be applied in other areas of medicine.

While our finding of limited progress is not new, we believe that it requires increased attention in setting the course of future research initiatives, demonstration programs, medical training and clinical practice.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Bailar J C, Smith E M: Progress against cancer?.New Engl J Med 314, 1226 (1986).

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  2. Letters to the Editor (II): Progress against cancer?New Engl J Med 315, 963–968 (1986).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Letters to the Editor (4): More on progress against cancer.New Engl J Med 316, 752–754 (1987).

    Google Scholar 

  4. National Cancer Institute: 1986 Annual Cancer Statistics Review. Division of Cancer Prevention and Control, NCI (December 1986).

  5. Greenwald P, Sondik E J (eds): Cancer Control Objectives for the Nation: 1985–2000. National Cancer Institute, NIH Publication 86-2880, Number 2 (1986).

  6. U.S. Public Health Service: Smoking and Health. Report of the Advisory Committee to the Surgeon General of the Public Health Service, DHS Publication No. 1103 (1964).

  7. Cairns J: The treatment of diseases and the war against cancer.Scient Am 253, 51 (1985).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  8. U.S. General Accounting Office: Cancer Patient Survival: What Progress Has Been Made? GAO Report PEMD-87-13 (1987).

  9. Young J L Jr, Percy C L, Asire A J (eds):Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results: Incidence and Mortality Data, 1973–77. National Cancer Institute Monograph 57, Washington, DC, Government Printing Office (1981).

    Google Scholar 

  10. Strickland S P:Politics, Science and Dread Disease: A Short History of United States Medical Research Policy. Cambridge, Harvard University Press (1972).

    Google Scholar 

  11. Patterson J:The Dread Disease: Cancer in Modern American Culture. Cambridge, Harvard University Press (1987).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

Supported in part by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, the Mobil Corporation and the University of Iowa Research Foundation. Mr Morton Klein supplied some helpful references.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Bailard, J.C., Smith, E.M. Have we reduced the risk of getting cancer or of dying from cancer? An update. Med. Oncol. & Tumor Pharmacother. 4, 193–198 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02934515

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02934515

Key words

Navigation