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Election outcomes and economic conditions: An application of a logit model

Journal of Economics and Finance volume 17, pages 115–125 (1993)Cite this article

Abstract

In this paper the author examines the impact of macroeconomic conditions on the probability of the incumbent party winning a gubernatorial election. Using a sample of 265 gubernatorial elections held during the 1970–1988 period, the findings of this study indicate that the incumbent party’s probability of victory is not significantly affected by either state or national macroeconomic conditions. The author also finds that neither the unemployment rate nor per capita income growth affect the incumbent party’s probability of winning an election.

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Affiliations

  1. Georgia Southern University, 30460, Statesboro, GA

    William Levernier

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  1. William Levernier
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Levernier, W. Election outcomes and economic conditions: An application of a logit model. J Econ Finan 17, 115–125 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02920087

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02920087

Keywords

  • Logit Model
  • Election Outcome
  • American Political Science Review
  • Macroeconomic Condition
  • Opposition Party