Skip to main content
Log in

A simultaneous probit model of crime and employment for black and white teenage males

  • Frontier Articles
  • Published:
The Review of Black Political Economy

Abstract

This study examines the relationships between the employability and criminality of white and black male teenagers. A disequilibrium model of employment and crime is formulated and estimated as a simultaneous probit equation system. Our results show that black teenagers who are employed engage in fewer criminal activities. Thus, it appears that blacks view employment and crime as alternative income-generating activities. On the other hand, the criminal behavior of white male teenagers is unaffected by their employment status. The evidence that we provide indicates that whites tend to use employment as a cover for crime or to moonlight in crime. The differences in the behaviors of whites and blacks can be explained, in part, by different legitimate opportunity structures for whites and blacks. One of the more important policy implications is that job opportunities targeted to high risk, black teenage populations will have the additional beneficial effect of reducing crime rates.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics,Handbook of Labor Statistics (Bulletin 2217, U.S. Government Priming Office, Washington, D.C., 1985).

    Google Scholar 

  2. See Kim B. Clark and Lawrence Summers, “The Dynamics of Youth Unemployment” inThe Youth Labor Market Problem: Its Nature, Causes, and Consequences, Richard B. Freeman and David Wise, editors, (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1986). Also Peter Jackson and Edward Montgomery. “Layoffs, Discharges and Youth Unemployment,” inThe Black Youth Employment Crisis, Richard B. Freeman and Harry J. Holzer, editors. (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 1986).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Mercer L. Sullivan,New York Affairs (NYU Urban Research Center, N.Y., New York, 1983); Michelle Sviridoff and James L. Thompson, “Links Between Employment and Crime: A Qualitative Study of Rikers Island Releases,”Crime and Delinquency 29 (April 1983), pp. 195–212.

    Google Scholar 

  4. David T. Ellwood, “The Spatial Mismatch Hypotheses: Are There Teenage Jobs Missing in the Ghetto?” inThe Black Youth Employment Crisis, Richard B. Freeman and Harry J. Holzer, editors. (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 1986).

    Google Scholar 

  5. Timothy J. Flanagan and Edmund F. McGarrell,Sourcebook of Criminal Justice Statistics (U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 1985), pp. 484.

    Google Scholar 

  6. Alfred Blumstein, “The Impact of Changes in Sentencing Policy on Prison Populations,” inResearch on Sentencing, Alfred Blumstein ed. (Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 1983), pp. 460–489.

    Google Scholar 

  7. Dall Dannefer and R.D. Schutt, “Race and Juvenile Processing in Court and Police Agencies,”American Journal of Sociology Vol. 87, No. 5 (1982), pp. 1113–32; G. Kleck, “Racial Discrimination in Criminal Sentencing: A Critical Evaluation of the Evidence with Additional Evidence on the Death Penalty.”American Sociological Renew 46 (December 1981), pp. 783–805; M. Farnworth and P.M. Horan, “Separate Justice: An Analysis of Race Differences in Court Processes,”Social Science Research 9 (1980), pp. 381-99; M.J. Hindelang, “Race and Involvement in Common Law Personal Crimes,”American Sociological Review 43 (1978), pp. 93–109.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. S. Kepper, D. Nagin and L. Tierney,Research on Sentencing (National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 1983); John Hagan and Marjorie S. Zatz, “Crime, Time and Punishment: An Exploration of Selection Bias in Sentencing Research,”Journal of Quantitative Criminology Vol. 1, No. 1, (1985), pp. 103-26.

    Google Scholar 

  9. David H. Good and Maureen A. Pirog-Good, “Employment, Crime and Race,”Contemporary Policy Issues Vol. 5, (July 1987), pp. 91–104. David H. Good, Maureen A. Pirog-Good and Robin C. Sickles, “An Analysis of Youth Crime and Employment Patterns, 1986,”Journal of Quantitative Criminology 2 (September 1986), pp. 219–236.

    Google Scholar 

  10. Gary Becker, “Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach,”Journal of Political Economy 76 (March–April 1968), pp. 169–217.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. D. Bogen, “Juvenile Delinquency and Economic Trends, 1944,”American Sociological Review 9 (April 1944), pp. 178–84; Llad Phillips, Donald Maxwell and Harold Votey, “Crime, Youth and the Labor Market,”Journal of Political Economy 80 (June 1972), pp. 491–504; Daniel Glaser and Kent Rice, “Crime, Age, and Unemployment,”American Sociological Review 24 (October 1959), pp. 679-86; Belton Fleisher,The Economics of Delinquency (Chicago: Quadrangle Books, 1966); Belton Fleisher, “The Effect of Income on Delinquency,”American Economic Review 56 (March 1966), pp. 118-37; Larry D. Singell, “An Examination of the Empirical Relationship Between Unemployment and Juvenile Delinquency,”The American Journal of Economics and Sociology 26 (October 1967), pp. 377-86; John C. Weicher, “The Effect of Income on Delinquency: Comment,”American Economic Review Vol. 61, No. 1 (1970), pp. 249-56.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Peter Schmidt and Anne Witte,An Economic Analysis of Crime and Justice (New York: Academic Press, Inc., 1984); Richard B. Freeman, “Crime and Unemployment,” inCrime and Public Policy, James Q. Wilson, ed., (California: ICS Press, San Francisco, California, 1983), pp. 89–106.

    Google Scholar 

  13. David Cantor and Kenneth C. Land, “Unemployment and Crime Rates in the Post-World War II United States: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis,”American Sociological Review 50 (June 1985), pp. 317–32; Michael Massourakis, Farahmond Rezvani and Todashi Yamada, “Occupation, Race, Unemployment and Crime in a Dynamic System,” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 1256, 1984, 17 pp.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. R.L. Christenson and Terence P. Thornberry, “Unemployment and Criminal Involvement: An Investigation of Reciprocal Causal Structures,”American Sociological Review 49 (June 1984), pp. 398–411; Schmidt, op. cit.; Samuel L. Myers, “Race Differences in Post-Prison Employment,”Social Science Quarterly 64 (September 1983) pp. 655-69; Anne Witte, “Estimating the Economic Model of Crime with Individual Level Data,”Quarterly Journal of Economics 94 (February 1980), pp. 57–84.

    Google Scholar 

  15. Maureen A. Pirog-Good, “Modeling Employment and Crime Relationships,”Social Science Quarterly 67 (December 1986), pp. 767–784; Samuel L. Myers, “Employment and Crime: An Issue of Race?,”The Urban League Review 6, (Fall 1981), pp. 9–24; Witte, op. cit.

    Google Scholar 

  16. op. cit..

    Google Scholar 

  17. op. cit. ; Sviridoff, et al., op. cit.; Harold Holtzman, “The Serious Habitual Property Offender as ‘Moonlighter’: An Empirical Study of Labor Force Participation Among Robbers and Burglars,”Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology 73 (1983), pp. 1774-92; Myers, 1983, op. cit.

    Google Scholar 

  18. op. cit..; Christenson and Thornberry, op. cit.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. op. cit..

    Google Scholar 

  20. Mercer L. Sullivan,New York Affairs (New York: NYU Urban Research Center, N.Y., New York, 1983).

    Google Scholar 

  21. Peter Jackson and Edward Montogomery, “Layoffs, Discharges and Youth Unemployment,”The Youth Labor Market Problem: In Its Nature, Causes, and Consequences, (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1986).

    Google Scholar 

  22. op. cit..

    Google Scholar 

  23. op. cit. ; Isaac Ehrlich, “Participation in Illegitimate Activities: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation,”Journal of Political Economy 81 (May–June 1973), pp. 521-65.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Good and Pirog-Good, 1987, op. cit.; Good, et al., 1986, op. cit.

  25. op. cit..

    Google Scholar 

  26. T. Amemiya, “The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Generalized Probit Models,”Econometrica 46 (1978), pp. 193–205; J. Heckman, “Dummy Endogenous Variables in a Simultaneous Equation System,”Econometrica 46 (1978), pp. 931–959.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. For more detailed information on econometrics of this model, see Good, et al., 1986, op. cit.

  28. See, Llad Philips and Harold J. Votey, “Rational Choice Models of Crime by Youth” in this volume.

  29. op. cit..

    Google Scholar 

  30. op. cit..

    Google Scholar 

  31. David Cantor and Kenneth C. Land, “Unemployment and Crime Rates in the Post-World War II United States: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis,”American Sociological Review 50 (June 1985), pp. 317–32.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

About this article

Cite this article

Good, D.H., Pirog-Good, M.A. A simultaneous probit model of crime and employment for black and white teenage males. Rev Black Polit Econ 16, 109–127 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02900927

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02900927

Keywords

Navigation