Abstract
The use of quantitative data for constructing prognostic maps of the dynamics of ecosystem degradation and restoration by nonlinear simulation methods is a topical field of landscape ecology. This method of dynamic cartography is based on fiberwise comparison of data on the state of Chernye Zemli (the Kalmyk Republic, Russia) in different years and the detailed analysis of the period on which the prognosis was based. For this purpose, materials of repeated aerial and satellite photography obtained during a long period (1954–1993) were used. Comparison of maps characterizing the dynamics of Chernye Zemli between 1958 and 1993 allows prognostic electronic maps for the next 10–15 years (with a five-year interval) to be drawn and land prognosis for the next 20–30 years (1998–2023) to be obtained.
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Vinogradov, B.V., Koshel', S.M. & Kulik, K.N. Prognosis of the spatiotemporal dynamics of ecosystems by means of universal kriging. Russ J Ecol 31, 293–302 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02828441
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02828441