Abstract
Recent empirical evidence indicates that the delay in the 2000 presidential election results impacted the stock market performance in the United States. In the present study we examine the impact of the same delay on the performance of the Canadian and Mexican stock markets. We find evidence indicating that both the Canadian and the Mexican stock markets were affected negatively during the period. This study not only shows that the Mexican and Canadian stock markets are closely integrated with their American counterparts but also indicates that the markets of these countries follow the U.S. presidential elections as closely as U.S. markets do.
References
Allvine, F.C., and D.E. O'Neill. 1980. “Stock Market Returns and the Presidential Election Cycle/Implications for Market Efficiency.”Financial Analysts Journal 36(5): 49–56.
CNN. Com. 2000. “How We Got Here: A Timeline of the Florida Recount.” www.ccc.com, Dec. 13.
Finanical Post. 2000. “Bay Street Climbs without U.S. Help: Nortel, JDS, RIM All Up.”Financial Post Investing, November 24, p. D02.
Foerster, S.R. 1994. “Stock Market Performance and Elections: Made-in-Canada Effects?”Canadian Investment Review (Summer): 39–42.
Foerster, S.R., and J.J. Schmitz. 1997. “The Transmission of U.S. Election Cycles to International Stock Returns.”Journal of International Business Studies 28: 1–27.
Herbst, A.F., and C.W. Slinkman. 1984. “Political-Economic Cycles in the U.S. Stock Market.”Financial Analysts Journal 40(2): 38–45.
Hobbs, G.R., and W.B. Riley. 1984. “Profiting from the Presidential Election.”Financial Analysts Journal 40(2): 46–53.
Homaifar, G., W.L. Randolph, B.P. Helms, and M. Haddad. 1998. “American Presidential Elections and Returns on Defense Industry Stocks.”Applied Economics 20(7): 985–994.
Huang, R.D. 1985. “Common Stock Returns and Presidential Elections.”Financial Analysts Journal 41(2): 58–62.
Kehoe, T.J. 2001, “Comment on Dollarization and the Integration of International Capital Markets.”Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 33(2): 590–596.
Longin, F., and B. Solnik. 1995. “Is the Correlation in International Equity Returns Constant: 1960–1990?”Journal of International Money and Finance 14(1): 3–27.
MacRae, C.D. 1977. “A Political Model of the Business Cycle.”Journal of Political Economy 85: 239–263.
Nippani, S., and W.B. Medlin. 2002. “The 2000 Presidential Election and the Stock Market.”Journal of Economics and Finance 26: 162–169.
Nordhaus, W.D. 1975. “The Political Economic Cycle.”Review of Economic Studies 42: 169–190.
Pantzalis, C., D.A. Stangeland, and H.J. Turtle. 2000. “Political Elections and the Resolution of Uncertainty: The International Evidence.”Journal of Banking and Finance 24: 1575–1604.
Reuters News Service, Mexico City. 2000. “Mexican Stocks Follow NASDAQ, Lose 3% of Value.”The Houston Chronicle, November 14, business section, p. 4.
Reuters News Service, Mexico City. 2000. “Bolsa Off 3.5% on Jitters over U.S. Election.”The Houston Chronicle, November 23, business section, p. 4.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
The authors thank the Department of Economics and Finance, Texas A&M University-Commerce, for financial support to purchase some of the data used in the study.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Nippani, S., Arize, A.C. U.S. Presidential election impact on Canadian and Mexican stock markets. J Econ Finan 29, 271–279 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02761558
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02761558