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Internal migration and unemployment in Germany: An anglo-irish perspective

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Abstract

Internal Migration and Unemployment in Germany: An Anglo-Irish Perspective. — The paper analyzes the effect on the migration rate of a number of labour market variables; in particular, relative wage levels and growth rates, and the relative unemployment rates in the home and foreign country. We study the Ireland-U.K. migration rate and use the estimates to predict migration between the two parts of unified Germany. We conclude that magnitudes of unemployment differences and wage differentials are such that currently observed substantial migration flows will not slow down for the forseeable future.

Zusammenfassung

Interne Wanderungen und Arbeitslosigkeit in Deutschland aus anglo-irischer Perspektive. — In diesem Aufsatz werden die Wirkungen einer Reihe von Arbeitsmarkt-Variablen auf die Wanderungsrate analysiert, insbesondere die Wirkungen der relativen Lohnhöhe und ihrer Wachstumsraten sowie des Verhältnisses der Arbeitslosenquoten zwischen Inland und Ausland. Die Verfasser untersuchen die Wanderungsraten zwischen Irland und dem Vereinigten Königreich und verwenden die Schätzungen für Voraussagen über die Wanderungen zwischen den beiden Teilen Deutschlands nach der Vereinigung. Sie kommen zu dem Ergebnis, daβ die Unterschiede in der Arbeitslosigkeit und in der Lohnhöhe so groβ sind, daβ sich die gegenwärtig beobachteten Wanderungsbewegungen in der absehbaren Zukunft nicht abschwächen werden.

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Authors
  1. Manfred Keil
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  2. Andrew Newell
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Keil, M., Newell, A. Internal migration and unemployment in Germany: An anglo-irish perspective. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv 129, 514–536 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02708000

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