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There are several different forecasts for Soviet oil consumption. One, example is an estimate of 613 m tons (1980) on which Gumpel bases his forecasts for the USSR’s future export potential. Cf. Werner Gumpel: Sowjetunion: Erdöl und Nahostpolitik. In: Außenpolitik. No. 11/1971, p. 676. Gumpel concludes that “the Soviet Union is likely to find itself with an oil gap of between 90 and 100 m tons, not counting additional demand from other eastern block countries of about 140 m tons”. Cf. Leopold Bauer: Elektrischer Verbundbetrieb in Ost und West. In: Österreichische Osthefte, No. 1/1974, p. 60.
West Germany’s primary energy consumption in 1980 is estimated at 511.3 m tons of coal equivalent. Cf. Prognose des Energieverbrauchs in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland bis 1985. In: DIW Wochenbericht, No. 44/1973.
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The role of oil and natural gas in Soviet trade with the west. Economic Bulletin 11, 58 (1974). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02614711
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02614711