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Evaluation et representation des erreurs sur les deformations d'un reseau geodesique: Utilisation de la methode de Monte Carlo

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Résumé

Le problème de la comparison des données obtenues à différentes époques sur un réseau geódésique pour en déduire les déformations subies par ce réseau au cours du temps est discuté, et conduit à proposer un mode de représentation simultané des déformations et des erreurs, utilisant les tenseurs de déformations classiques avec une méthode de Monte Carlo permettant de simuler un grand nombre de séries de mesures.

Abstract

The repetition of geodetic measurements is employed in many cases to monitor ground deformations, and is widely used for civil engineering, geodynamics and slope instabilities studies. Generally the networks used are small and the main problem to solve is how to detect stable zones, i.e. where the signal/noise ratio of the deformation measurements are below unity. This is commonly done using statistical tests. We present here a new tool, the simultaneous display of the deformations and their related errors, using a classical Monte Carlo methodology when computing strain tensors. Such a representation provides to non-specialists in a quit efficient way the significance level of the deformation patterns. Some examples show that even when statistical test show a poor confidence level, this methodology may give anyway in some situations the pattern of the deformation (but—obviously—not its amplitude).

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Pagarete, J., Kasser, M. & Ruegg, J.C. Evaluation et representation des erreurs sur les deformations d'un reseau geodesique: Utilisation de la methode de Monte Carlo. Bull. Geodesique 64, 63–72 (1990). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02530615

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02530615

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