, Volume 40, Issue 3, pp 507–528 | Cite as

Growth of research literature in scientific specialities. A modelling perspective

  • B. M. Gupta
  • Praveen Sharma
  • C. R. Karisiddappa


The paper discusses the application of three well known diffusion models and their modified versions to the growth of publication data in four selected fields of S&T. It is observed that all the three models in their modified versions generally improve their performance in terms of parameter values, fit statistics, and graphical fit to the data. The most appropriate model is generally seen to be the modified exponential-logistic model.


Diffusion Model Research Output Innovation Diffusion Subject Field Potential Adopter 
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Copyright information

© Akadémiai Kiadó 1997

Authors and Affiliations

  • B. M. Gupta
    • 1
  • Praveen Sharma
    • 1
  • C. R. Karisiddappa
    • 2
  1. 1.Scientometrics and Informetrics GroupNational Institute of Science, Technology and Development StudiesNew Delhi(India)
  2. 2.Department of Library & Information ScienceKarnataka UniversityDharwad(India)

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