Skip to main content
Log in

Potential coastal impacts of contemporary changing climate on South Asian seas states

  • Profile
  • Published:
Environmental Management Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The threat of man-induced global change on the nations of the South Asian seas region varies from place to place because of differences in exposure to monsoons and stoms, differences in local tectonics and subsidence, and variations in air and sea climates. Because several nations are involved, some having subsistence budgets, and given the cost of deriving independently a comprehensive response to global change, the similarities and differences between national settings must be identified soon. These comparisons will form the basis for local response strategies: the similarities provide a basis for responses similar to that of other nations and the differences provide for local adaptation. That climate change on the South Asian coastal region will have an impact is certain: its economics, environment, and coastal land uses are dominated to a certain extent by this marine influence. The extent of these impacts, however, is uncertain. Accompanying global change will be changes in sea level, differences in storm climate, and altered precipitation patterns; science cannot define today what pattern these changes will take. Because global change is inevitable—although its magnitude, timing, and geographic distribution are unknown—the South Asian seas region should begin the appropriate research and planning studies to set forth a reasoned response to global change, for implementation when scientific evidence for global change is more quantitative.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

Literature Cited

  • Agarwal, A., and S. Narain (eds.). 1985. The state of India's environment 1984–85. Center for Science and Environment, New Delhi. 398 pp.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ahmad, E. 1985. India. Pages 741–747in E. C. F. Bird and M. L. Schwartz (eds.), The world's coastline. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • AID/NOAA Coastal Resource Management Assessment. 1983. Sri Lanka. Unpublished sector report, November 28, 1983. 12 pp.

  • Alam, M. 1990/91. Geotectonics and subsidence of the Ganges-Brahmaputra Delta of Bangladesh and accompanied drainage sedimentation and salinity problems.In J. D. Milliman and S. Sabhasri (eds.), Sea level rise and coastal subsidence: Problems and strategies. John Wiley & Sons, New York. In press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Amarasinghe, M. D. 1988. Socio-economic status of the human communities of selected mangrove areas on the west coast of Sri Lanka. UNDP/UNESCO Regional Mangroves Project RAS/86/120, Mangrove Ecosystems Occasional Papers No. 3. 19 pp.

  • Amarasinghe, S. R., H. J. M. Wickremeratne, and G. K. Lowry. 1987. Coastal zone management in Sri Lanka 1978–1986. Proceedings of coastal zone '87, American Society of Civil Engineers. pp. 1995–2006.

  • Anderson, D. M. 1989. Toxic algal blooms and red tides: A global perspective. Pages 11–16in T. Okaichi, D. M. Anderson, and T. Nemoto. (eds.), Red tides: Biology, environmental science, and toxicology. Elsevier Science Publishing.

  • Aubrey, D. G. 1985. Recent sea levels from tide gauges: Problems and prognosis. Pages 73–91in Glaciers, ice sheets and sea level: Effect of a CO2-induced climatic change. DOE/ER/60235-1, US Department of Energy, Washington, DC.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barnett, T. P. 1984. The estimation of “global” sea level change: A problem of uniqueness.Journal of Geophysical Research 89(C5):7980–7988.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bird, E. C. F. 1985. Coastline changes, a global review. John Wiley & Sons, New York. 219 pp.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bird, E. C. F. 1990/91. Coastal erosion and a rising sea level.in Sea level rise and coastal subsidence: Problems and strategies. J. D. Milliman and S. Sabhasri (eds.), John Wiley & Sons, New York. In press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Biswas, A. K. 1987. Environmental concerns in Pakistan, with special reference to water and forests.Environmental Conservation 14(4):319–328.

    Google Scholar 

  • Blake, D. R., and F. S. Rowland. 1988. Continuing worldwide increase in tropospheric methane 1978 to 1987.Science 239:1129–1131.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Braatz, B. V., and D. G. Aubrey. 1987. Recent relative sea-level change in eastern North America. Pages 29–46in D. Nummedal, O. H. Pilkey, and J. D. Howard (eds.), Sea-level fluctuation and coastal evolution. Society of Economic Paleontologists and Mineralogists, Special Publication No. 41.

  • Bradley, R. S., H. F. Diaz, J. K. Eischeid, P. D. Jones, P. M. Kelly and C. M. Goodess. 1987. Precipitation fluctuations over northern hemisphere land areas since the mid-19th century.Science 237:171–175.

    Google Scholar 

  • Broadus, J. M. 1987. Seabed materials.Science 235:853–860.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Broecker, W. S. 1987. Unpleasant surprises in the greenhouse?Nature 328(6126):123–126.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Brown, B. E., and R. P. Dunne. 1988. The environmental impact of coral mining on coral reefs in the Maldives.Environmental Conservation 15(2):159–166.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bryant, E. 1988. Sea-level variability and its impact within the greenhouse scenario. Pages 1–11in G. I. Pearman (ed.), Greenhouse planning for climate change. CSIRO, Melbourne, Australia.

    Google Scholar 

  • Buddemeier, R. W., and S. V. Smith. 1988. Coral reef growth in an era of rapidly rising sea level: Predictions and suggestions for long-term research.Coral Reefs 7:51–56.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Carbognin, L. 1985. Land subsidence: A worldwide environmental hazard.Nature and Resources 21:2–12.

    Google Scholar 

  • De Silva, M. W. R. N. 1985. Status of the coral reefs of Sri Lanka. Pages 515–518in Proceedings of the 5th international coral reef congress, Tahiti, Vol. 6.

  • De Silva, M. W. R. N. 1988. Research needs for the coral reef ecosystems of the central Indian Ocean. Pages 153–165in IOC/UNESCO workshop on regional co-operation in marine science in the central Indian ocean and adjacent seas and gulfs. Workshop Report No. 37—Supplement.

  • Dobbin, J. (ed.). 1983. Sri Lanka coastal zone management plan: Evaluation of needs and a proposed action plan. Prepared for Coast Conservation Division, Ministry of Fisheries, Colombo, Sri Lanka, USAID/Sri Lanka Contract No. ASB-044-C-00-3089-00. 34 pp.

  • Dolan, R., and H. G. Goodell. 1986. Sinking cities.American Scientist 74:38–47.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eagleson, P. S. 1986. The emergence of global-scale hydrology.Water Resources Research 22(9):6S-14S.

    Google Scholar 

  • Emanuel, K. A. 1987. The dependence of hurricane intensity on climate.Nature 326(6112):483–485.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Emanuel, K. A. 1988. Toward a general theory of hurricanes.American Scientist 76(4):370–379.

    Google Scholar 

  • Emery, K. O., and D. G. Aubrey. 1989. Tide gauges of India.Journal of Coastal Research 5(3):489–501.

    Google Scholar 

  • Everts, C. H. 1985. Sea level rise effects on shoreline position.Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal and Ocean Engineering 111(6):985–999.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Flohn, H., and A. Kapala. 1989. Changes of tropical sea-air interaction processes over a 30-year period.Nature 338(6212):244–246.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Frank, W. M. 1987. Tropical cyclone formation. Page 53–90in R. L. Elsberry (ed.), A global view of tropical cyclones. University of Chicago Press, Chicago.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ganapathy, R. S., and A. P. Mavalankar. 1985. Cooperation for marine resources development in the Indian Ocean region. Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, India. 241 pp.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gerritsen, F., and S. R. Amarasinghe. 1977. Coastal problems in Sri Lanka. Pages 3487–3505in Proceedings of the 15th coastal engineering conference, American Society of Civil Engineers.

  • Grotch, S. L. 1988. Regional intercomparisons of general circulation model predictions and historical climate data. US Department of Energy, Technical Report 041. 291 pp.

  • Hall, D. O. 1989. Carbon flows in the biosphere: Present and future.Journal of the Geological Society, London 146:175–181.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, J., and S. Lebedeff. 1987. Global trends of measured surface air temperature.Journal of Geophysical Research 92(D11):13,345–13,372.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, J., I. Fung, A. Lacis, D. Rind, S. Lebedeff, R. Ruedy, and G. Russell. 1988. Global climate changes as forecast by Goddard Institute for Space Studies three-dimensional model.Journal of Geophysical Research 93(D8):9341–9364.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Hekstra, G. P. 1989. Global warming and rising sea levels: The policy implications.The Ecologist 19(1):4–15.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hayes, M. O. 1985. Beach erosion. Pages 67–200in J. R. Clark (ed.), Coastal resources management: Development case studies. Research Planning Institute, Inc., Columbia, South Carolina.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hingane, L. S., K. R. Kumar, and B. H. V. R. Murty. 1985. Long-term trends of surface air temperatures in India.Journal of Climatology 5:521–528.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hoffman, J. S., D. Keys, and J. G. Titus. 1983. Projecting future sea level rise: Methodology, estimates to the year 2100, and research needs. US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hoffman, J. S., J. B. Wells, and J. G. Titus. 1986. Future global warming and sea level rise. Pages 245–266in G. Sigbjarnarson (ed.), Iceland coastal and river symposium, Proceedings.

  • Houghton, R. A., R. D. Boone, J. R. Fruci, J. E. Hobbie, J. M. Melillo, C. A. Palm, B. J. Peterson, G. R. Shaver, G. M. Woodwell, B. Moore, D. L. Skole, and N. Myers. 1987. The flux of carbon from terrestrial ecosystems to the atmosphere in 1980 due to changes in land use: Geographic distribution of the global flux.Tellus 39B:122–139.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Jaeger, J. 1988. Anticipating climatic change: Priorities for action.Environment 30(7):12–15, 30–33.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jelgersma, S. 1988. A future sea-level rise: Its impacts on coastal lowlands. Pages 61–81in Geology and urban development, atlas of urban geology, Vol. 1. UN/ESCAP, Bangkok.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones, P. D. 1988. Hemispheric surface air temperature variations: Recent trends and an update to 1987.Journal of Climate 1(6):654–660.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Katupotha, J., and K. Fujiwara. 1988. Holocene sea level change on the southwest and south coasts of Sri Lanka.Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 68:189–203.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kenchington, R. A. 1985. Report on missions to the Republic of Maldives. UNESCO unpublished technical report. 87 pp.

  • Lave, L. B. 1988. The greenhouse effect: What government actions are needed?Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 7(3):460–470.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee, C. S., R. Edson, and W. M. Gray. 1989. Some large-scale characteristics associated with tropical cyclone development in the north Indian Ocean during FGGE.Monthly Weather Review 117:407–426.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mehta, A. J., and R. M. Cushman (eds.). 1989. Workshop on sea level rise and coastal processes. DOE/NBB-0086. US Department of Energy, Washington, DC. 289 pp.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mercer, D. E., and L. S. Hamilton. 1984. Mangrove ecosystems: Some economic and natural benefits.Nature & Resources 20(2):14–19.

    Google Scholar 

  • Milliman, J. D. 1988. Rising sea level and changing sediment influxes: Real and future problem for Indian Ocean coastal nations. Pages 195–202in IOC/UNESCO workshop on regional co-operation in marine science in the central Indian Ocean and adjacent seas and gulfs. Workshop Report No. 37—Supplement.

  • Milliman, J. D., G. S. Quraishee, and M. A. A. Beg. 1984. Sediment discharge from the Indus River to the ocean: Past, present and future. Pages 65–70in B. U. Haq, and J. D. Milliman (eds.), Marine geology and oceanography of Arabian Sea and coastal Pakistan. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Milliman, J. D., J. M. Broadus, and F. Gable. 1989. Environmental and economic implications of rising sea level and subsiding deltas: The Nile and Bengal examples.Ambio 18(6):340–345.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mintzer, I. 1988. Living in a warmer world: Challenges for policy analysis and management.Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 7(3):445–459.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mooley, D. A., and B. Parthasarathy. 1984. Fluctuations in all-India summer monsoon rainfall during 1871–1978.Climatic Change 6:287–301.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Murty, T. S., R. A. Flather, and R. F. Henry. 1986. The storm surge problem in the Bay of Bengal.Progress in Oceanography 16(4):195–233.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Murty, T. S., R. A. Flather, and R. F. Henry. 1988. Storm surges in the Bay of Bengal. Pages 205–227in IOC/UNESCO workshop on regional co-operation in marine science in the central Indian Ocean and adjacent seas and gulfs. Workshop Report No. 37—Supplement.

  • Nair, M. M. 1987. Coastal geomorphology of Kerala.Journal Geological Society of India 29:450–458.

    Google Scholar 

  • Novaky, B., C. Pachner, K. Szesztay, and D. Miller. 1985. Water resources. Pages 187–214in R. W. Kates, J. H. Ausubel, and M. Berberian (eds.), Climate impact assessment, studies of the interaction of climate and society. John Wiley & Sons, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Olsen, S. (ed.). 1986. The management of coastal habitats in Sri Lanka. Report of a workshop, May 1986, held at the Sri Lanka Foundation Institute, Agency for International Development, University of Rhode Island, Coastal Resources Management Project Technical Report 1. 36 pp.

  • Parker, D. E., and C. K. Folland. 1988. The nature of climatic variability.The Meteorological Magazine. 117(1392):201–210.

    Google Scholar 

  • Peltier, W. R. 1988. Global sea level and earth rotation.Science 240:895–901.

    Google Scholar 

  • Premchand, K., and C. M. Harish. 1990/91. Rising sea level—concern along southwest coast of India.In J. D. Milliman, and S. Sabhasri (eds.), Sea level rise and coastal subsidence: Problems and strategies. John Wiley & Sons, New York. In press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ramakrishna, K. 1989. Legal regime for environmental protection in the South Asian seas region. (Draft) Paper presented at the joint annual convention of the British International Studies Association and the International Studies Association, London, March 28–April 1. 16 pp.

  • Ramanathan, V. 1988. The greenhouse theory of climate change: A test by an inadvertent global experiment.Science 240:293–299.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Rasmussen, R. A., and M. A. K. Khalil. 1986. Atmospheric trace gases: Trends and distributions over the last decade.Science 232:1623–1624.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Ravindra, B. M., and B. K. Rao. 1987. Relation of coastal faults and river morphology to sea erosion in Dakshina Kannada, Karnataka.Journal Geological Society of India 29:424–432.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rowland, F. S. 1989. Chlorofluorocarbons and the depletion of stratospheric ozone.American Scientist 77(1):36–45.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rupa Kumar, K., and L. S. Hingane. 1988. Long-term variations of surface air temperature at major industrial cities of India.Climatic Change 13:287–307.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Samsuddin, M. 1989. Influence of seasonal changes on the texture of beach sands, southwest coast of India.Journal of Coastal Research 5(1):57–64.

    Google Scholar 

  • Samsuddin, M., and G. K. Suchindan. 1987. Beach erosion and accretion in relation to seasonal long-shore current variation in the northern Kerala coast, India.Journal of Coastal Research 3(1):55–62.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schneider, S. H. 1989. The greenhouse effect: Science and policy.Science 243:771–781.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Sivadas, P. 1987. Possible threats to the marine environment and ecology of Lakshadweep (Laccadive Islands).Environmental Conservation 14(4):361–363.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Smith, S. V., and D. W. Kinsey. 1976. Calcium carbonate production, coral reef growth, and sea-level change.Science 194:937–939.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Snead, R. E. 1985a. Pakistan. Pages 735–739in E. C. F. Bird and M. L. Schwartz (eds.), The world's coastline. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Snead, R. E. 1985b. Bangladesh. Pages 761–765in E. C. F. Bird, and M. L. Schwartz (eds.), The world's coastline. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Snead, R. E. 1988. Man's response to change in the coastal zone of Pakistan. Pages 521–551in K. Ruddle, W. B. Morgan, and J. R. Pfafflin (eds.), The coastal zone—man's response to change. Harwood Academic Publishers, Chur, Switzerland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Suchindan, G. K., M. Samsuddin, and K. P. Thrivikramji. 1987. Coastal geomorphology and beach erosion and accretion in the northern Kerala coast.Journal Geological Society of India 29:379–389.

    Google Scholar 

  • Swan B. 1985. Sri Lanka. Pages 749–759in E. C. F. Bird and M. L. Schwartz (eds.), The world's coastline. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tata Energy Research Institute, Woods Hole Research Center, United Nations Environment Programme and World Resources Institute. 1989. International conference on global warming and climate change: Perspectives from developing countries. Conference statement, February 21–23, New Delhi, India. 15 pp.

  • UN/ESCAP. 1985. Coastal environmental management plan for the west coast of Sri Lanka: Preliminary survey and interim action plan. United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, Bangkok. 197 pp.

    Google Scholar 

  • UNEP. 1986a. Environmental problems of the marine and coastal area of Maldives. National report, United Nations Environment Programme Regional Seas Reports and Studies No. 76. 31 pp.

  • UNEP. 1986b. Environmental problems of the marine and coastal area of Sri Lanka. National report, United Nations Environment Programme Regional Seas Reports and Studies No. 74. 99 pp.

  • UNEP. 1986c. Environmental problems of the marine and coastal area of Pakistan. National report, United Nations Environment Programme Regional Seas Reports and Studies No. 77. 55 pp.

  • UNEP. 1986d. Environmental problems of the marine and coastal area of Bangladesh. National report, United Nations Environment Programme Regional Seas Reports and Studies No. 75. 47 pp.

  • Walker, H. J. 1984. Man's impact on shorelines and nearshore environments: A geomorphological perspective.Geoforum 15(3):395–417.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wiegel, R. L. 1987. Trends in coastal erosion management.Shore and Beach 55(1):3–11.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wigley, T. M. L., and S. C. B. Raper. 1987. Thermal expansion of sea water associated with global warming.Nature 330:127–131.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • WMO (World Meteorological Organization). 1986. Report of the international conference on the assessment of the role of carbon dioxide and of other greenhouse gases in climate variations and associated impacts. Villach, Austria, 9–15 October 1985, World Climate Programme, No. 661.

  • World Bank. 1983. The Maldives—an introductory economic report (second printing). The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, The World Bank. Washington, D.C., 172 pp.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhao, Z.-C., and W. W. Kellogg. 1988. Sensitivity of soil moisture to doubling of carbon dioxide in climate model experiments. Part II: The Asian monsoon region.Journal of Climate 1(4):367–378.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Gable, F.J., Aubrey, D.G. Potential coastal impacts of contemporary changing climate on South Asian seas states. Environmental Management 14, 33–46 (1990). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02394017

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02394017

Key words

Navigation