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On the optimality of the logistic growth

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Abstract

The rate at which a population should grow is determined by finding the best trade-off between the loss due to the deviation from a target population size and the loss associated to the growing effort. It is also shown that, in the case of infinite-time horizon and quadratic loss functions, the optimal growth is logistic.

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References

  1. Verhulst, P. F., Recherches Mathématiques sur la Loi d'Accroissement de la Population, Memoirs de l'Academie Royale Belgique, Vol. 18, pp. 1–38, 1845 (in French).

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  2. Volterra, V.,Calculus of Variations and the Logistic Curve, Human Biology, Vol. 11, pp. 173–178, 1939.

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  3. Leitmann, G.,A Minimum Principle for a Population Equation, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Vol. 9, pp. 155–156, 1972.

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Communicated by G. Leitmann

This research was supported by the Centro Teoria dei Sistemi, CNR, and by the Italian Ministry of Public Education.

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Gatto, M., Muratori, S. & Rinaldi, S. On the optimality of the logistic growth. J Optim Theory Appl 57, 513–517 (1988). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02346168

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