Abstract
Many observers of the Brazilian economy have suggested that wage growth causes inflation. Because wage growth is linked to past price growth, an inertial component is said to exist. The relationship between wage growth and inflation in Brazil over the period 1981–89 is examined. A model of wage growth and inflation is developed. Lagged effects of inflation on wage growth and a structural break in 1986 are tested for. The estimates suggest a lagged response of wages to prices in the pre-1986 period. However, in the post-1986 period, the response of wages to lagged inflation is not statistically different from zero and the contemporaneous response is not different from one.
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A preliminary version of this paper was presented at Fundacão Getulio Vargas and CEBRAP in São Paulo in August 1991. The author wishes to thank Tomàs Malaga, Carola Lame, Gesner Olivera, and Luis Bresser Periera for helpful comments. As well, the author wishes to acknowledge some critical input from Ann Witte and Alejandra Edwards. All errors, however, are the author's own.
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Tanner, E. Inertial linkages between wages and inflation: Evidence from Brazil. Atlantic Economic Journal 21, 39–49 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02302314
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02302314