Abstract
This paper discusses the role of the trade-off between the level of discounting and the curvature of preferences and technology in establishing the existence of endogenous cycles. Using the equivalence between the Euler-Lagrange equations and a modified Hamiltonian dynamic system, in a general continuous-time multisector optimal growth model, it is proved that, if the indirect utility function is weakly concave (i.e., concave-γ, with γ>0 arbitrarily close to 0), then the discount rate values compatible with endogenous fluctuations are arbitrarily low. We show by numerical simulations that our result explains and generalizes to the multisector case the recent contribution of Benhabib and Rustichini in this field.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Boldrin, M., andMontrucchio, L.,On the Indeterminacy of Capital Accumulation Paths, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 40, pp. 26–39, 1986.
Montrucchio, L.,The Occurrence of Erratic Fluctuations in Models of Optimization over Infinite Horizon, Growth Cycles and Multisectoral Economics: The Goodwin Tradition, Edited by G. Ricci and K. Velupillai, Springer Verlag, Berlin, Germany, pp. 83–92, 1988.
Montrucchio, L.,Dynamical Systems That Solve Continuous-Time Concave Optimization Problems: Anything Goes, Cycles and Chaos in Economic Equilibrium, Edited by J. Benhabib, Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, pp. 277–288, 1992.
Sorger, G.,On the Optimality of Given Feedback Controls, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Vol. 65, pp. 321–329, 1990.
Benhabib, J., andNishimura, K.,The Hopf Bifurcation and the Existence and Stability of Closed Orbits in Multisector Models of Optimal Economic Growth, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 21, pp. 421–444, 1979.
Benhabib, J., andNishimura, K.,Competitive Equilibrium Cycles, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 35, pp. 284–306, 1985.
Benhabib, J., andNishimura, K.,On Endogenous Cycles in Discrete-Time Optimal Growth Models, Optimal Control Theory and Economic Analysis 3, Edited by G. Feichtinger, North Holland, Amsterdam, Holland, pp. 3–20, 1988.
Medio, A.,Oscillations in Optimal Growth Models, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol. 8, pp. 413–427, 1987.
Zhang, W. B.,Hopf Bifurcations in Multisector Models of Optimal Economic Growth, Economic Letters, Vol. 26, pp. 329–334, 1988.
Benhabib, J., andRustichini, A.,Equilibrium Cycling with Small Discounting, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 52, pp. 423–432, 1990.
Cartigny, P., andVenditti, A.,Turnpike Theory: Some New Results on the Saddle-Point Property of Equilibria and on the Existence of Endogenous Cycles, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 18, pp. 957–974, 1994.
Cartigny, P., andVenditti, A.,Endogenous Cycles in Discrete Symmetric Multisector Optimal Growth Models, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Vol. 86, pp. 17–36, 1995.
Venditti, A.,Hopf Bifurcation and Quasiperiodic Dynamics in Discrete Multisector Optimal Growth Models Working Paper,Greqam, Marseille, France, 1994.
Deneckere, R., andPelikan, S.,Competitive Chaos, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 40, pp. 13–25, 1986.
Boldrin, M.,Paths of Capital Accumulation in Two-Sector Models, Economic Complexity: Chaos, Sunspots, Bubbles, and Nonlinearity Edited by W. Barnett, J. Geweke, and K. Shell, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England, pp. 231–252, 1989.
Boldrin, M., andDeneckere, R.,Sources of Complex Dynamics in Two-Sector Growth Models, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 14, pp. 627–653, 1990.
Montrucchio, L.,Dynamic Complexity of Optimal Paths and Discount Factors for Strongly Concave Problems, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Vol. 80, pp 385–406, 1994.
Scheinkman, J. A.,Commentaries on the Grandmont Paper “Endogenous Competitive Business Cycles” Models of Economic Dynamics, Edited by H. F. Sonnenschein, Springer Verlag, Berlin, Germany, pp. 36–37, 1986.
Scheinkman, J. A.,Nonlinearities in Economic Dynamics, Economic Journal, Vol. 100, pp. 33–48, 1990.
Woodford, M.,Imperfect Financial Intermediation and Complex Dynamics, Economic Complexity: Chaos, Sunspots, Bubbles and Nonlinearity, Edited by W. Barnett, J. Geweke, and K. Shell, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England, pp. 309–334, 1989.
Bullard, J., andButler, A.,Nonlinearity and Chaos in Economic Models: Implications for Policy Decisions, Economic Journal, Vol. 103, pp. 849–867, 1993.
Kurz, M.,The General Instability of a Class of Competitive Growth Processes, Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 25, pp. 155–174. 1968.
Levhari, D., andLiviatan, N.,On Stability in the Saddle-Point Sense, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 4, pp. 88–93, 1972.
Scheinkman, J. A.,On Optimal Steady States of n-Sector Growth Models When Utility is Discounted, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 12, pp. 11–30, 1976.
Benhabib, J., andNishimura, K.,Stability of Equilibrium in Dynamic Models of Capital Theory, International Economic Review, Vol. 22, pp. 275–293, 1981.
McKenzie, L.,Optimal Economic Growth, Turnpike Theorems, and Comparative Dynamics, Handbook of Mathematical Economics, Edited by K. Arrow and M. D. Intriligator, North Holland, Amsterdam, Holland, pp. 1281–1355, 1986.
Sorger, G.,On the Minimum Rate of Impatience for Complicated Optimal Growth Paths, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 56, pp. 160–179, 1992.
Sorger, G.,Minimum Impatience Theorems for Recursive Economic Models, Springer Verlag, Berlin, Germany, 1992.
Brock, W. A., andScheinkman, J. A.,Global Asymptotic Stability of Optimal Control Systems with Applications to the Theory of Economic Growth, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 12, pp. 164–190, 1976.
Brock, W. A., andScheinkman, J. A.,The Global Asymptotic Stability of Optimal Control with Applictions to Dynamic Economic Theory, Applications of Control Theory to Economic Analysis, Edited by J. D. Pitchford and S. J. Turnovsky, North Holland, Amsterdam, Holland, pp. 173–205, 1977.
Cass, D., andShell, K.,The Structure and Stability of Competitive Dynamical Systems, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 12, pp. 31–70, 1976.
Rockafellar, R. T.,Saddle Points of Hamiltonian Systems in Convex Lagrange Problems Having a Nonzero Discount Rate, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 12, pp. 71–113, 1976.
Magill, J. P. M.,Some New Results on the Local Stability of the Process of Capital Accumulation, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 15, pp. 174–210, 1977.
Vial, J. P.,Strong and Weak Convexity of Sets and Functions, Mathematical Operation Research, Vol. 8, pp. 231–257, 1983.
Bougeard, M., andPenot, J. P.,Approximation and Decomposition Properties of Some Classes of Locally DC Functions, Mathematical Programming, Vol. 41, pp. 195–228, 1988.
Penot, J. P., andVolle, M.,On Strongly Convex and Paraconvex Dualities, Generalized Concavity and Fractional Programming with Economic Applications, Edited by A. Cambini, E. Castagnoli, L. Martein, P. Mazzoleni, and S. Schaible, Springer Verlag, Berlin, Germany, pp. 188–218, 1990.
Brock, W. A.,Some Results on the Uniqueness of the Steady States in Multisector Models of Optimum Growth When Future Utilities are Discounted, International Economic Review, Vol. 14, pp. 535–559, 1973.
Araujo, A., andScheinkman, J. A.,Maximum Principle and Transversality Condition for Concave Infinite-Horizon Economic Models, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 30, pp. 1–16, 1983.
Michel, P.,On the Transversality Condition in Infinite-Horizon Optimal Problems, Econometrica, Vol. 50, pp. 975–985, 1982.
Blot, J., andMichel, P.,First-Order Necessary Conditions for the Infinite-Horizon Variational Problems, Working Paper,Greqe, Marseille, France, 1993.
Cartigny, P.,Saddle-Point Property and Hopf Bifurcation in Continuous Optimal Growth Models: A Lagrangian Approach, Ricerche Economiche, Vol. 48, pp. 241–254, 1994.
Guckenheimer, J., andHolmes, P.,Nonlinear Oscillations, Dynamical Systems, and Bifurcations of Vector Fields, Springer Verlag, New York, New York, 1986.
Marsden, J., andMcCracken, M.,The Hopf Bifurcation and Its Applications, Springer Verlag, New York, New York, 1976.
Chenciner, A., Bifurcations de Difféomorphismes de ℝ2 au Voisinage d'un Point Fixe Elliptique, Chaotic Behavior of Deterministic Systems, Edited by R. Helleman, G. Iooss, and R. Stora, North Holland, Amsterdam, Holland, pp. 273–348, 1983.
Montrucchio, L.,A Turnpike Theorem for Continuous-Time Optimal Control Models, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 19, pp. 599–619, 1995.
Magill, J. P. M.,The Origin of Cyclical Motion in Dynamic Economic Models, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 1, pp. 199–218, 1979.
Dockner, E. J., andFeichtinger, G.,On the Optimality of Limit Cycles in Dynamic Economic Systems, Journal of Economics, Vol. 53, pp. 31–50, 1991.
Venditti, A.,Weak Concavity Properties of Indirect Utility Functions in Multisector Optimal Growth Models, Working Paper,Greqam, Marseille, France, 1994.
Benhabib, J., andFarmer, R. E. A.,Indeterminacy and Increasing Returns, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 63, pp. 19–41, 1994.
Benhabib, J., andPerli, R.,Uniqueness and Indeterminacy: On the Dynamics of Endogenous Growth, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 63, pp. 113–142, 1994.
Boldrin, M., andRustichini, A.,Growth and Indeterminacy in Dynamic Models with Externalities, Econometrica, Vol. 62, pp. 323–342, 1994.
Benhabib, J., andRustichini, A.,Introduction to the Symposium on Growth, Fluctuations, and Sunspots: Confronting the Data, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 63, pp. 1–18, 1994.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Additional information
Communicated by G. Leitmann
The author would like to thank P. Cartigny, J. M. Grandmont, P. Michel, and L. Montrucchio for helpful discussions which greatly improved the exposition of the paper. He is also indebted to G. Sorger for a fruitful discussion which clarified some recent contributions. The paper also benefited from comments received during a presentation at the Meeting of the Society for Economic Dynamics and Control, University of California, Los Angeles, California, 1994.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Venditti, A. Endogenous cycles with small discounting in multisector optimal growth models: Continuous-time case. J Optim Theory Appl 88, 453–474 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02192180
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02192180