Skip to main content
Log in

Social security contributions, economic activity, and distribution

  • Published:
Empirical Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Deductions from private income occupy a central role in the discussion of current economic problems. One hypothesis stated frequently claims that an increasing social security burden depresses economic activity. A reduction in contributions is evaluated within the macroeconometric F&T-Model. It leads to the desired systematic changes in economic activity and distribution. Demand and employment rise while the disburdening of profits exceeds that of wages and salaries thereby inducing additional private investment. These results hold even if the loss in contributions is compensated by a decrease in subsidies of the same amount. Although profits have to pay for the disburdening of wages and salaries in the course of the simulation the losses in profits are over-compensated by effects arising from increased economic activity.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Aaron HJ (1982) Economic effects of social security. The Brookings Institution, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Feldstein M (1981) The effect of social security on saving. In: Currie D, Nobay R, Peel D (eds) Macroeconomic analysis. Croom Helm, London, pp 1–23

    Google Scholar 

  • Fels G (1983) Angebotspolitik aus unserer Sicht. In: Giersch H (ed) Wie es zu schaffen ist, Agenda für die deutsche Wirtschaftspolitik. Deutsche Verlags-Anstalt, Stuttgart, S 34–54

    Google Scholar 

  • Francke HH, Friedrich D (1984) Zinswirkungen der Staatsverschuldung — Eine empirische Untersuchung für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland. Duncker + Humblodt, Berlin

    Google Scholar 

  • Janssen M, Müller H (1983) Die Substitutionswirkungen zwischen kollektiver Vorsorge und privatem Sparen in der Schweiz. Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Volkswirtschaft und Statistik 119:139–145

    Google Scholar 

  • Kune JB (1983) Studies on the relationship between social security and personal saving, a tabular survey. Kredit und Kapital 16:371–380

    Google Scholar 

  • Lüdeke D, Friedrich D, Hummel W, von Natzmer W, Röger W, Röhling W, Termin J (1984) Freiburger and Tübinger quarterly econometric model for the Federal Republic of Germany — an overview. Economic Modelling 1:139–232

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • von Natzmer W (1985) Econometric policy evaluation and expectations. Economic Modelling 2:52–58

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • von Natzmer W (1987) Equivalence hypotheses in private consumption. Discussion paper

  • Perelman S, Pestieau P (1984) The effect of social security on saving: the case of Belgium with a particular emphasis on the behavior of the aged. Empirical Economics 9:15–26

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Petersen JH (1984) The political economy of financing old-age pensions. Zeitschrift für die gesamte Staatswissenschaft/Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics 140:430–447

    Google Scholar 

  • Röger W (1983) Analyse von Steuerwirkungen mit Hilfe ökonometrischer Modelle. In: Gschwendtner H (Hrsg) Strukturelle Auswirkungen des Steuersystems. Institut für Angewandte Wirtschaftsforschung, Tübingen, S 143–216

    Google Scholar 

  • Schröder J (1983) Social security and the macroeconomic saving-income ratio. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv 119:554–568

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

The author would like to thank Professor Dr. D. Lüdeke and the members of Abteilung Statistik und Ökonometrie, Universität Freiburg i. Br., for their helpful comments.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

von Natzmer, W. Social security contributions, economic activity, and distribution. Empirical Economics 12, 29–49 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01973002

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01973002

Keywords

Navigation