Skip to main content
Log in

An economic analysis of fertility

  • Published:
De Economist Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Summary

In this article, the results of an empirical application for ten countries of Willis' economic theory of fertility are presented. In a further analysis for The Netherlands the model developed by Willis is confronted with some alternative models. It is concluded that among the models considered the Willis model is the most satisfactory one. However, in conformity with Leibenstein's propostition that economic factors are only relevant with respect to the question whether parents want more than two children, Willis' model proves to offer only an explanation for the question whether a married couple which has already two children wants to have a third child.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Becker, G.S. ‘A Theory of the Allociation of Time,’Economic Journal, LXXV (1965).

  • Bekkering, J.M., Y.K. Grift and J.J. Siegers, Het effect van belasting- en premieheffing op de arbeidsmarktparticipatie door gehuwde vrouwen: een econometrische analyse, Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment, The Hague, 1986.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ben-Porath, Y., ‘Economic Analysis of Fertility in Israel,’ in: Th.W. Schultz (ed.),Economics of the Family. Marriage, Children and Human Capital, Chicago, 1974.

  • Cramer, J.S., ‘Efficient Grouping, Regression and Correlation in Engel Curve Analysis,’Journal of the American Statistical Association, LIX (1964).

  • Fulop, M., ‘A Survey of the Literature on the Economic Theory of Fertility Behavior,’American Economist, XXI (1977).

  • Gardner, B., ‘Economics of the Size of North Carolina Rural Families,’ in: Th.W. Schultz (ed.),Economics of the Family, Marriage, Children and Human Capital, Chicago, 1974.

  • Heinen, A. and A. Maas,Het NPAO-Arbeidsmarktonderzoek, IVA, Tilburg, 1984.

  • Jones, E.F.,Socio-Economic Differentials in Achieved Fertility, Geneva, 1982.

  • Kaa, D.J. van de, and H.G. Moors, ‘Social Status, Social Structure and Fertility,’ in: A. Bedefg,Population et structures sociales, Leuven, 1982.

  • Keeley, M.C., ‘A Comment on “An Interpretation of the Economic Theory of Fertility”,’Journal of Economic Literature, XIII (1975).

  • Koutsoyiannis, A.,Theory of Econometrics, London, 1973.

  • Leibenstein, H.,Economic Backwardness and Economic Growth, New York, 1957.

  • Leibenstein, H., ‘An Interpretation of the Economic Theory of Fertility: Promising Path or Blind Alley?,’Journal of Economic Literature, XII (1974).

  • Leroy, R.,Essay sur la population active, Leuven, 1968.

  • Lewis, H.G.,Income and Substitution Effects in Labor Force Participation and Hours of Work, Center for Economic Research, University of Minnosota, Minneapolis, 1972.

    Google Scholar 

  • Michael, R.T. and G.S. Becker, ‘On the New Theory of Consumer Behavior,’The Swedish Journal of Economics, LXXV (1973).

  • Robinson, W.S., ‘Ecological Correlations and the Behavior of Individuals,’American Sociological Review, XV (1950).

  • Sanderson, ‘On Two Schools of the Economics of Fertility,’Population and Development Review, II (1976).

  • Siegers, J.J., ‘Derksen's Study of Labour Force Participation of Married Women in the Netherlands: Some Comments and a Further Analysis,’De Economist, CXXVI (1978).

  • Siegers, J.J.,Arbeidsduurverkorting en het arbeidsaanbod door gehuwde vrouwen, Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment, The Hague, 1983.

    Google Scholar 

  • Siegers, J.J.,Arbeidsaanbod en kindertal, Ph. D. Dissertation, University of Groningen, 1985.

  • Simon, J.,The Effect of Income on Fertility, Chapel Hill, N.C., 1974.

  • Willis, R.J.,The Economic Determinants of Fertility Behavior, Ph. D. Dissertation, University of Washington, 1971.

  • Willis, R.J., ‘A New Approach to the Economic Theory of Fertility Behavior.’Journal of Political Economy, LXXXI (1973).

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

He is indebted to Mr. F. Aldewereld and Mr. L.F.M. Groot for computational assistance and to Mr. T.J.J. Doodeman, Mrs. Y.K. Grift and Mr. J.J. Schippers for their comments on an earlier draft of this article.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Siegers, J.J. An economic analysis of fertility. De Economist 135, 94–111 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01856705

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01856705

Keywords

Navigation