Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Structural change in oecd countries: A normal pattern analysis

  • Published:
De Economist Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Summary

This article discusses the development of sector shares against the background of growingper capita income and some other key variables. It elaborates on Chenery's normal pattern approach, which emphasizes the existence of regularities. Long-term dynamics in the economic structure are quantified. Conclusions are drawn with respect to the continuing process of industrialization, the role of the service sector and the rise or decline of manufacturing subsectors. The slow-down of overall growth rates and the discovery of energy resources are given special attention. Finally it is tried to detect some country-specific specialization patterns.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Barker, T. and V. Brailovsky (eds.), Oil or Industry?, Energy, Industrialisation and Economic Policy in Canada, Mexico, the Netherlands, Norway and the United Kingdom, London,etc., 1981.

  • Batchelor, R.A., R.L. Major and A.D. Morgan,Industrialization and the Basis for Trade, Cambridge, 1980.

  • Baumol, W.J., ‘Macro-economics of Unbalanced Growth,’American Economic Review, June 1967, pp. 415–426.

  • Chenery, H.B., ‘Patterns of Industrial Growth,’American Economic Review, 1960, pp. 624–654.

  • Chenery, H.B. and L. Taylor, ‘Development Patterns: Among Countries and Over Time,’Review of Economics and Statistics, November 1968, pp. 391–416.

  • Chenery, H.B. and M. Syrguin,Patterns of Development: 1950–1970, New York, etc., 1975.

  • Clark, C.,The Conditions of Economic Progress, Third edition, London/New York, 1957.

  • Cornwall, J.,Modern Capitalism: Its Growth and Transformation, Oxford, 1977.

  • Fels, G., K.W. Schatz and F. Wolter, ’Der Zusammenhang zwischen Produktionsstruktur and Entwicklungsniveau,’Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 1971, pp. 240–274.

  • Fels, G. and F. Weiss, ‘Structural Change and Employment: The Lesson of West Germany,’IEA paper, Tokyo, 1977; also published in: H. Giersch (ed.),Capital Shortage and Unemployment in the World Economy, Tübingen, 1978.

  • Freeman, C.,The Economics of Industrial Innovation, Harmondsworth, 1974.

  • Fuchs, V.R.,The Service Economy, New York, 1968.

  • Gemmell, N., ‘Economic Development and Structural Change: The Role of the Service Sector,’Journal of Development Studies, October 1982, pp. 37–66.

  • Gemert, H.G. van,Orde en beweging in de sectorstructuur, PhD-thesis, Groningen, 1985.

  • Giersch, H., ‘Aspects of Growth, Structural Change, and Employment - A Schumpetarian Perspective,’Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 1979, pp. 629–652.

  • Gregory, P. and J.M. Griffin, ‘Secular and Cross-section Industrialization Patterns: Some Further Evidence on the Kuznets-Chenery Controversy,’Review of Economics and Statistics, August 1974, pp. 360–368.

  • Jameson, K.P., ‘A Critical Examination of 'The Patterns of Development,’Journal of Development Studies, July 1982, pp. 431–446.

  • Kuznets, S., ‘Quantitative Aspects of the Economic Growth of Nations,’Economic Development and Cultural Change, 10 papers, Oktober 1956-January 1967.

  • Kuznets, S.,Economic Growth of Nations: Total Output and Productions Structure, Cambridge/London, 1971.

  • Lindbeck, A., ‘The Recent Slowdown of Productivity Growth,’Economic Journal, 1983, pp. 13–34.

  • Maizels, A.,Industrial Growth and World Trade, Cambridge, 1963.

  • Maddala, G.S.,Econometrics, New York, etc., 1977.

  • Muller, F., ‘Veranderingen in de sector-structuur van de Nederlandse economce 1950–1990,’Voorstudies en Achtergronden, WRR, The Hague, 1980.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pen, J., ‘Stagnation Explained?,’De Economist, 1983, pp. 457–473.

  • Scheper, W. and H. Reichenbach, ‘Die Entwicklung der Anteile der Wirtschaftsbereiche am Brutoinlandsprodukt Eine Strukturprognose,’Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 1973, pp. 29–320.

  • Wijnbergen, S. van, The ‘Dutch Disease’: A Disaster after all?,’Economic Journal, March 1984, pp. 41–55.

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Tilburg University, The Netherlands

    Henk G. Van Gemert

Authors
  1. Henk G. Van Gemert
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Additional information

I am indebted to Professor Theo van de Klundert and to my colleagues Robert de Groof and Anton Markink.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Van Gemert, H.G. Structural change in oecd countries: A normal pattern analysis. De Economist 135, 29–51 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01856702

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01856702

Keywords

Search

Navigation