Summary
In this paper we estimate eventual tenure distributions for the Dutch economy, based on the hazard function method. The results of different specifications are presented and compared to the results yielded by an alternative method, based on Hall (1982). We find that about 40% of all workers employed in April 1985 will eventually stay with the same firm for at least 20 years.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Addison, J.T. and A.C. Castro (1987), ‘The Importance of Lifetime Jobs: Differences between Union and Non-union Workers,’Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 40, pp. 393–404.
Akerlof, G.A. and B.G.M. Main (1981), ‘An Experience-weighted Measure of Employment and Unemployment Durations,’American Economic Review, 71, pp. 1003–1011.
Akerlof, G.A. and J.L. Yellen (1986),Efficiency Wage Models of the Labor Market, Cambridge.
Becker, G.B. (1975),Human Capital. A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis with Specific Reference to Education, Second Edition, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York.
Bellmann, L. (1986),Senioritktsentlohnung, betriebliche Hierarchie und Arbeitsleistung, Frankfurt/New York.
Bellmann, L. and U. Schasse (1990), ‘Die erwartete Dauer der Betriebszugehörigkeit von Frauen und Männern in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland,’Zeitschrift für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, 110, pp. 413–431.
Bergeijk, C. van and A. De Grip (1986), ‘Bestaan en ontwikkeling van interne arbeidsmarkten in Nederland,’Maandblad Arbeid, pp. 437–451.
Carter, S.B. (1988), ‘The Changing Importance of Lifetime Jobs, 1892–1978,’Industrial Relations, 27, pp. 287–300.
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek (1983, 1984, 1986, 1988, 1990),Statistiek Werkzame Personen, Den Haag.
Creedy, J. and K. Whitfield (1988), ‘The Economic Analysis of Internal Labour Markets,’Bulletin of Economic Research, 40, pp. 247–269.
Doeringer, P.B. and M.J. Piore (1971),Internal Labour Markets and Manpower Analysis, Lexington, Mass.
Grip, A. de (1985), ‘Interne arbeidsmarkten: een overzicht,’Maandschrift Economie, 49, pp. 333–345.
Hall, R.E. (1982), ‘The Importance of Lifetime Jobs in the U.S. Economy,’American Economic Review, 72, pp. 716–724.
Han, A. and J.A. Hausman (1990), ‘Flexible Parametric Estimation of Duration and Competing Risk Models,’Journal of Applied Econometrics, 5, pp. 1–28.
Hashimoto, M. and J. Raisian (1985), ‘Employment Tenure and Earnings Profiles in Japan and the United States,’American Economic Review, 75, pp. 721–735.
Heckman, J.J. and B. Singer (1984), ‘Econometric Duration Analysis,’Journal of Econometrics, 24, pp. 63–132.
Jovanovic, B. (1979), ‘Job Matching and the Theory of Turnover,’Journal of Political Economy, 78, pp. 972–990.
Kerckhoffs, C.C.J.M.C. (1989),De uittreedkans van geregistreerde werklozen in Nederland, Master's thesis, University of Limburg.
Kerckhoffs, C.C.J.M.C., C. de Neubourg and F. Palm (1990), ‘The Determinants of Individual Unemployment Duration in the Netherlands,’Research Memorandum, 90.052, University of Limburg.
Kerckhoffs, C.C.J.M.C. and G.L.M. Wolfs (1991), ‘Duration of Job Tenure in the Dutch Economy,’Research Memorandum, 91.006, University of Limburg.
Kiefer, N.M. (1988), ‘Economic Duration Data and Hazard Functions,’Journal of Economic Literature, 26, pp. 646–679.
King, J.E. (1990),Labour Economics, Second Edition, London.
Lancaster, T. (1979), ‘Econometric Models for the Duration of Unemployment,’Econometrica, 47, pp. 939–956.
Lancaster, T. and S. Nickell (1980), ‘The Analysis of Re-employment Probabilities for the Unemployed,’Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 143, pp. 141–165.
Lindeboom, M. and J. Theeuwes (1989), ‘Job Duration in the Netherlands: The Simultaneous Occurrence of High and Low Turnover,’Research Memorandum, 90.03, Leiden University.
Main, B.G.M. (1981), ‘The Length of Employment and Unemployment in Great Britain,’Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 28, pp. 146–164.
Main, B.G.M. (1982), ‘The Length of a Job in Great Britain,’Economica, 49, pp. 325–333.
Malcomson, J.M. (1984), ‘Work Incentives, Hierarchy, and Internal Labor Markets,’Journal of Political Economy, 92, pp. 486–507.
Meyer, B.D. (1988), ‘Unemployment Insurance and Unemployment Spells,’National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper, no. 2546.
OSA (1987),Trendrapport, Den Haag.
OSA (1990),Arbeidsmarktperspectieven, OSA rapport Nr. 8, Den Haag.
Osterman, P. (1984),Internal Labor Markets, Cambridge, Mass.
Ours, J.C. van (1989), ‘Durations of Dutch Job Vacancies,’De Economist, 137, pp. 309–328.
Ridder, G. (1984), ‘The Distribution of Single-spell Duration Data,’ in: G.R. Neumann and N.C. Westergard-Nielsen (eds.),Studies in Labor Market Dynamics, Berlin.
Salant, S.W. (1977), ‘Search Theory and Duration Data: A Theory of Sorts,’Quarterly Journal of Economics, 92, pp. 39–57.
Williamson, O.E. (1975),Markets and Hierarchies: Analysis and Antitrust Implications, New York.
Wolfs, G.L.M. (1988), ‘Pricing and Allocation on Internal Labour Markets,’Research Memorandum, 88.028, University of Limburg.
Wolfs, G.L.M. (1990), ‘Tenure in the Dutch Economy,’Research Memorandum, 90.042, University of Limburg.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Additional information
Thanks to Erik de Regt, Joan Muysken and two anonymous referees for their useful comments.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Kerckhoffs, C.C.J.M.C., Wolfs, G.L.M. Job tenure in the Dutch economy. De Economist 140, 336–356 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01799324
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01799324