Summary
A prognostic model for head injured patients was developed. Patients fall into one of four prognostic categories at the end of the first hospital day:
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I.
Discharge alive on or before the seventh hospital day.
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II.
Discharge alive 8–42 days after admission.
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III.
Discharge alive after 42 days, or dead after five years.
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IV.
Discharge dead before five years.
The outcome of 63% of the patients was predicted correctly. The model correctly placed, or missed by only one category, 97% of the patients observed. Errors tended to the optimistic side of observed outcomes. Age and pattern of consciousness were critical prognostic factors.
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References
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Stewart, W.A., Litten, S.P. & Sheehe, P.R. A prognostic model for head injury. Acta neurochir 45, 199–208 (1979). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01769134
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01769134