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Optimale Innovationspolitik bei unvollständiger Information

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Zusammenfassung

Das Innovationsproblem einer Firma wird im Rahmen eines sequentiellen Entscheidungsproblems bei Unsicherheit behandelt. Dabei kann die Firma unter Aufwendung von F&E-Ausgaben in jeder Periode ihr bisheriges Technologieniveau/ihre bisherige Produktqualität verbessern. Unter plausiblen Annahmen kann gezeigt werden, daß ein „Reservationstechnologieniveau“ existiert, ab dem es für eine Firma nicht mehr lohnend ist, F&E zu betreiben. Innovationskonkurrenz bzw. Grundlagenforschung können diese kritische Grenze positiv beeinflussen. Ein neues, interessantes Ergebnis über den Zusammenhang zwischen Firmengröße und Innovationsaktivität wird demonstriert.

Summary

The innovation problem of a single firm is described as a sequential decision problem under uncertainty. In each period the firm can improve its technology by R&D activities. It is shown that a “reservation technology” exists — the firm stops its efforts in R&D before reaching the technological limit. The reservation technology can be influenced by competition or basic research. Moreover, new insights into the innovation advantages of big corporations are given.

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Berninghaus, S., Völker, R. Optimale Innovationspolitik bei unvollständiger Information. OR Spektrum 10, 173–183 (1988). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01740512

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01740512

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