Skip to main content
Log in

Modeling regional innovativeness and innovation

  • Published:
The Annals of Regional Science Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Advanced means of communication are necessary ingredients in the process of the dissemination of information and knowledge over space. Thus the spatial diffusion of innovation is contingent upon rapid, accurate transmission of knowledge and the ability to interact frequently and efficiently among different locations. This paper presents an extended empirical model for evaluating innovativeness and the innovation potential of various regions. The extended model is based on two basic models: the LOGIT model, a behavioral logistic model that is used to describe the diffusion process, and Bayesian statistical decision theory. A simplified example with synthetic data is presented to demonstrate the three steps involved in evaluating the probabilities of technology innovation in various regions with the extended model. Finally, the example is used to present possible way of employing the model to evaluate the effectiveness of public policy to attract firms to different regions.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Alderman N (1985) Predicting patterns of diffusion of process innovation within Great Britain. Paper presented to the Twenty-fifth European Congress of the Regional Science Association. Budapest, Hungary, 27–30 August

  • Anderson A, Johansson B (1984) Knowledge intensity and product cycles in metropolitan regions, contributions to the metropolitan study. No. 8, IIASA, Luxemburg (unpublished paper)

    Google Scholar 

  • Aydalot Ph (1984) Reversals on spatial trends in french industry since 1974. In: Lambooy JG (ed) New spatial dynamics and economic crisis. Tampere, Finland, Finnpublishers, pp 41–63

    Google Scholar 

  • Bayes ERS (1958) An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances (from December 1763). Biometrika 45:(3)

    Google Scholar 

  • Baumol WJ, Blackman SAB, Wolf EN (1989) Productivity and American leadership: the long view. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Berry BJL (1972) Hierarchical diffusion: the basis of developmental filtering and spread in a system of growth centers. In: Hansen NM (ed) Growth centers in regional economic development. The Free Press, New York, pp 108–138

    Google Scholar 

  • Brown LA (1981) Innovation diffusion. A new perspective. Menthuen, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Bushwell RJ (1983) Research and development: a review. In: Gillespie A (ed) Technological change and regional development. Pion, London, pp 9–22

    Google Scholar 

  • Button K (1988) High-technology companies: an examination of their transport needs. Progress in planning 29(2):79–146

    Google Scholar 

  • Camagni R (1984) Spatial diffusion of pervasive process innovation. Paper presented at the twenty-fourth European Congress of the regional science association, Milan 28–31 August

  • Camagni R (1985) Spatial diffusion of pervasive process innovation. Pap Reg Sci Assoc 58:83–95

    Google Scholar 

  • Camagni R, Rabellotti R (1986) Innovation and territory: the Milan high-tech and innovation field. Paper presented at the GREMI seminar on Les regions et la diffusion des technologies nouvelles, Paris

  • Chernoff H, Lincoln ME (1959) Elementary decision theory. John Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Davelaar EJ (1991) Regional Economic analysis of innovation and incubation. Billing & Sons, Worcester, Great Britain

    Google Scholar 

  • Davelaar EJ, Nijkamp P (1988) The urban incubator hypothesis: re-vitalization of metropolitan areas? Ann Reg Sci 22(3):48–65 (special issue)

    Google Scholar 

  • Davies S (1979) The diffusion of process innovation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Dosi G (1984) Technical change and industrial transformation. MacMillan, Hong Kong

    Google Scholar 

  • Dosi G (1989) The nature of the innovation process. In: Dosi GG, Freeman C, Nelson R, Silverberg G, Soete L (eds) Technical change and economic theory. Printer, London, pp 221–238

    Google Scholar 

  • Ewers HJ, Wettman RW (1980) Innovation-oriented regional policy. Reg Stud 14:161–179

    Google Scholar 

  • Feldman PM (1994) The geography of innovation. Kluwer Academic Publisher, Dordrecht

    Google Scholar 

  • Feldman PM, Florida R (1992) The geography of innovation. (Unpublished paper)

  • Fischer MM (1989) Innovation, diffusion and regions, Chap. 5. In: Andersson AE, Batten DF, Karlsson C (eds) Knowledge and industrial organization. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York, pp 47–61

    Google Scholar 

  • Freeman C (1982) The economics of industrial innovation. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Freeman C (1987) Technical innovation, long cycles and regional policy. In: Chapman K, Humphrys G (eds) Technical change and industrial policy. Basic Blackwell, Oxford, pp 10–25

    Google Scholar 

  • Freeman C (1990) The economics of innovation. Aldershot, Hants, England

    Google Scholar 

  • Freeman C, Clark J, Soete L (1982) Unemployment and technical innovation. A study of a long waves and economic development. Frances Printer, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Gibbs DC, Thwaites AT (1985) The location and potential mobility of research and development activity: a regional perspective. Paper presented at the Twenty-fifth European Congress of the Regional Science Association. Budapest, Hungary, 27–30 August

  • Griliches Z (1957) Hybrid corn: an exploration in the economics of technological change. Econometrica 25:502–522

    Google Scholar 

  • Hichs JR (1939) Value and capital. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Hoover EM, Vernon R (1959) Anatomy of metropolis. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Jacobs J (1966) The death and life of great American cities. Vintage Books, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Johansson B, Nijkamp P (1987) Analysis of episodes in urban event histories. In: Van Den Berg L, Burns LS, Klaassen LH (eds) Spatial cycles. Aldershot, Avebury, England, pp 43–66

    Google Scholar 

  • Jorgenson D, Gollop F, Fraumeni B (1988) Productivity and U.S. economic growth. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Kamien MI, Schwartz NL (1982) Market structure and innovation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Mahajan V, Peterson RA (1985) Models for innovation diffusion. Sage Publications, Beverly Hills, Calif

    Google Scholar 

  • Malecki EJ (1979a) Agglomeration and intra-firm linkage R & D location in the United States. TESG 70:322–331

    Google Scholar 

  • Malecki EJ (1979b) Locational trends in R & D by large U.S. corporations 1965–1977. Econ Geogr 55:309–323

    Google Scholar 

  • Malecki EJ (1980) Corporate organization of R & D and the location of technological activities. Reg Stud 14:219–234

    Google Scholar 

  • Malecki EJ (1981) Technology and regional economic development: review and prospects. Res Policy 10:321–334

    Google Scholar 

  • Martin F, Swan N, Banks I, Barker G, Beaudry R (1979) The interregional diffusion of innovation in Canada. Montreal, Canada, Ministry of Supply and Services

    Google Scholar 

  • McArthur R (1987) Innovation, diffusion and technical change: a case study. In: Chapman K, Humphrys G (eds) Technical change and industrial policy. Basic Blackwell, Oxford, pp 26–50

    Google Scholar 

  • Metcalfe J (1981) Impulse and diffusion in the study of technical change. Futures 13(5):347–359 (special issue)

    Google Scholar 

  • Metcalfe S (1990) On diffusion, investment and the process of technological change. In: Deiaco E, Hornell E, Vickery G, Technology and investment crucial issues for the 1990s. London, printer publish

  • Nabseth L, Rey GF (eds) (1974) The diffusion of new industrial processes: an international study. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Nelson RR, Winter SG (1977) In search of a useful theory of innovation. Res Policy 6:36–77

    Google Scholar 

  • Nelson RR, Winter SG (1982) An evolutionary theory of economic change. Belknap Press of Harvard University, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Nijkamp P (1988) Information center policy in a spatial development perspective. Econ Dev Cultural Change 37(1):173–193

    Google Scholar 

  • Northcott J, Rogers P (1984) Microelectronics in British industry: the pattern of change. Policy Studies Institute, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Oakey RP (1984) Innovation and regional growth in small high technology firms: evidence from Britain and the USA. Reg Stud 18:237–251

    Google Scholar 

  • Pavitt K, Walker W (1976) Government policies towards industrial innovation: a review. Res Policy 5:11–97

    Google Scholar 

  • Pred AR (1977) City-systems in advanced economies. Past growth, present processes and future development option. Hutchinson, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Roberts BE (1991) Entrepreneurs in high technology, lessons from MIT and beyond. Oxford University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Rogers EM (1983) Diffusion of innovation. Free Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Rosenberg N (1972) Technology and American economic growth. Harper and Row, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Rothwell R, Zegveld W (1985) Reindustrialization and technology. Longman, Essex

    Google Scholar 

  • Savage LJ (1954) The foundation of statistics. John Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Schlaifer R (1959) Probability and statistics for business decision. McGraw-Hill, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Schmookler J (1966) Invention and economic growth. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Shefer D (1975) Transport investment decision with Bayesian statistical decision theory. Comput Urban Soc 1:131–157

    Google Scholar 

  • Stöhr W (1986) Regional innovation complexes. Pap Reg Sci Assoc 59:29–44

    Google Scholar 

  • Thwaites AT (1978) Technological change, mobile plants and regional development. Reg Stud 12:445–461

    Google Scholar 

  • Thwaites AT (1982) Some evidence of regional variations in the introduction and diffusion of industrial products and processes within British manufacturing industry. Reg Stud 16:371–381

    Google Scholar 

  • Von Neumann J, Morgenstern O (1944) Theory of games and economic behavior, 1st edn. John Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Wald A (1950) Statistical decision functions. John Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

This paper was partially supported by a research grant No. 021-619 from the office of the Vice-President for Research at the Technion — Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Frenkel, A., Shefer, D. Modeling regional innovativeness and innovation. Ann Reg Sci 30, 31–54 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01580536

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01580536

Keywords

Navigation