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Evaluation of rainfall-runoff performance using the stochastic integral equation method

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Abstract

The stochastic integral equation method (S.I.E.M.) is used to evaluate the relative performance of a set of both calibrated and uncalibrated rainfall-runoff models with respect to prediction errors. The S.I.E.M. is also used to estimate confidence (prediction) interval values of a runoff criterion variable, given a prescribed rainfall-runoff model, and a similarity measure used to condition the storms that are utilized for model calibration purposes.

Because of the increasing attention given to the issue of uncertainty in rainfall-runoff modeling estimates, the S.I.E.M. provides a promising tool for the hydrologist to consider in both research and design.

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Hromadka, T.V., McCuen, R.H. Evaluation of rainfall-runoff performance using the stochastic integral equation method. Stochastic Hydrol Hydraul 3, 217–226 (1989). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01543861

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