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Yield and overflow from a finite stochastic reservoir

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Abstract

The paper discusses the overflow (spillage) and yield rates and the total overflow and total yield over a specified time from a finite discrete stochastic reservoir, in which the yieldY t during the working interval (t,t+1) is a function of the storageZ t at timet, the inflow sequence {X t } being IID.

The distribution vector of the spillage rate at timet is a telescoped version of the distribution of a certain Markovian variable whose transition matrix is derived. Formulae are given for the distribution of the total spillageW h given suitable initial conditions, forh=1,2,3; and a simple expression derived forE(W h ).

The distribution of the yield rateY t is a trivial modification of the storage distribution. As for the total yieldR t =Y 1+...+Y t , it is shown that the bivariate sequence {R t ,Z t } is first-order Markovian, whereZ t is the storage at timet. The transition matrix of this process is obtained and the method of evaluating the marginal distribution of the total yieldR t is exemplified.

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Lloyd, E.H., Warren, D. Yield and overflow from a finite stochastic reservoir. Stochastic Hydrol Hydraul 4, 227–240 (1990). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01543086

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