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Monetary policy under fixed exchange rates: Lessons from the Netherlands, Belgium, and Austria, 1973–1992

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Summary

The impact of domestic monetary policy in The Netherlands, Belgium and Austria on offsetting capital flows, interest rates and exchange rates is empirically investigated for the period 1973–1992. Offsetting capital flows are found to be incomplete for each country and lead to marginal interest and exchange rate effects only. A significant direct channel from excessive domestic creation to interest rises is present in Austria and to both interest and exchange rate rises in Belgium. No such effects are found for The Netherlands, possibly due to its adherence to targets for domestic money creation during the sample.

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This paper was written while the author was a visiting scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Manon den Dunnen provided excellent research assistance in collecting and summarizing available sources on actual monetary policy and instruments in Austria, Belgium, and The Netherlands. Useful comments on an earlier draft from Bill DeWald, Lex Hoogduin, Kees Koedijk, Ron van Rooden, Jack Tatom, Dan Thornton, Tom van Veen, and two anonymous referees are acknowledged. I am indebted to Paul Hilbers of the Dutch Central Bank for providing data on the exchange rate parities of the guilder and the Belgian franc during the 1970s. The usual disclaimer applies.

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Kool, C.J.M. Monetary policy under fixed exchange rates: Lessons from the Netherlands, Belgium, and Austria, 1973–1992. De Economist 143, 329–351 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01434012

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