Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

A comparison of two methods to project regional and state populations for the U.S.

  • Published:
The Annals of Regional Science Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper is a comparison of two contrasting methods for projecting population at the regional and state levels. A projection of the U.S. Bureau of the Census employs standard demographic methods, while the population projection by Data Resources, Inc., is based on economic opportunity. The methodological differences between these two projections are discussed, and the projections for the year 2000 are compared. While both projections use the same national control total for population in the year 2000, some of the regional and state projections are very different. The U.S. Bureau of the Census projects population decline in the Northeast and rapid growth in the West while Data Resources, Inc., projects some population growth in the Northeast and less rapid growth in the West.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Data Resources, Inc.,Regional Information Service Memoranda, Cambridge, MA: DRI, 1984.

    Google Scholar 

  2. Data Resources, Inc., Regional Information Service, unpublished spring 1984 projections, Cambridge, MA: DRI, 1984.

    Google Scholar 

  3. Eckstein, O.,The DRI Model of the U.S. Economy, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1983.

    Google Scholar 

  4. McDonald, J. F., and D. W. South, unpublished information, Argonne, IL: Argonne National Laboratory, 1984.

  5. Milne, W., and C. Loxley,The WEFA Multiregional Model Project: The Nine Region Census Model, Philadelphia: Wharton EFFA, Inc., 1980.

    Google Scholar 

  6. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 922,Projections of the Population of the United States. 1982–2050 (Advance Report), Washington, D.C.: U. S. Government Printing Office, 1982.

    Google Scholar 

  7. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 937,Provisional Projections of the Population of States, by Age and Sex: 1980 to 2000, Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1983.

    Google Scholar 

  8. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 952,Projections of the Population of the United States, by Age, Sex and Race: 1983 to 2080, Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1984.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. University of Illinois at Chicago, Box 4348, 60680, Chicago, Illinois, USA

    John F. McDonald

  2. Argonne National Laboratory, 9700 South Cass Avenue, 60439, Argonne, IL., USA

    David W. South

Authors
  1. John F. McDonald
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. David W. South
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Additional information

Funding for this project was provided by the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract W-31-109-Eng-38.

The authors hope that this paper has illustrated the extent to which such a change in the growth pattern established in the 1970s may matter to the regions and states.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

McDonald, J.F., South, D.W. A comparison of two methods to project regional and state populations for the U.S.. Ann Reg Sci 19, 40–53 (1985). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01294830

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01294830

Keywords

Search

Navigation