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Testing for the spatial spread of demographic change in modern Europe

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Abstract

The spatial spread of lower fertility and mortality rates throughout Europe is investigated analytically in this paper. A mathematical formulation capable of representing alternative modalities of such spread is proposed. Then its parameters are estimated in order to determine which one pattern of spread is consistent with empirical data. The model is generated through the application of the “Expansion Method”

The methodology used leads to defining a measure of speed of spatial spread and to measuring the speed of the spatial spread of lower birth and death rates in Europe.

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References

  1. Casetti, E. and Demko, G. J., “A Diffusion Model of Fertility Decline: An Application to Selected Soviet Data: 1940-1965,”Acta Geographica Universitatis Comenianae, Economica Geographica nr. 12, Bratislava 1973, pp. 53–67.

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  2. Casetti, E., L. King and F. Williams, “Concerning the Spatial Spread of Economie Development,” International Geography 1972, Vol. 2, University of Toronto Press, 1972, pp. 897–899.

  3. Casetti, E., “Generating Models by the Expansion Method: Applications to Geographical Research,”Geographical Analysis, Vol. 4 (Jan. 1972):81–91.

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  4. Demko, G. J. and E. Casetti, “A Diffusion Model for Selected Demographic Variables: An Application to Soviet Data,”Annals, The Association of American Geographers, Vol. 60 (Sept. 1970): 533–539.

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  5. Kuczynski, R. R.,The Measurement of Population Growth, Gordon and Breach Science Publishers, N.Y., 1969.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Ohio State University, USA

    E. Casetti (Professors of Geography)

  2. McMaster University, USA

    L. King

Authors
  1. E. Casetti
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  2. L. King
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Casetti, E., King, L. Testing for the spatial spread of demographic change in modern Europe. Ann Reg Sci 9, 8–13 (1975). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01287420

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01287420

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