Abstract
This paper uses a translog price possibility frontier to measure the extent of regional interfuel substitution effects in the electric utility industry in the United States. Monthly data based on Department of Energy regions serve as the vehicle around which the estimation is performed. Given the nonlinear character of the price possibility frontier specification, an iterative Zellner seemingly unrelated regression technique is used for estimating the parameters of the model. The results suggest that relative changes in fuel prices have significant effects on fossil fuel consumption. This, in turn, has important implications for public policy. In particular, the market system appears better able to deal with exogenous shifts in energy supplies than has frequently been assumed in the formulation of energy policy toward the energy crisis.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Allen, R. G. D.Mathematical Analysis for Economists. London: MacMillan, 1938.
Atkinson, S. and R. Halvorsen, “Interfuel Substitution in Conventional Steam-Electric Power Generation,”Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 84, No. 5 (Oct. 1976), pp. 959–978.
Barten, A. P. “Maximum Likelihood Estimation of a Complete System of Demand Equations,”European Economic Review, Vol. 1 (Fall 1969), pp. 959–978.
Berndt, E. R. and L. R. Christensen, “The Internal Structure of Functional Relationships: Separability, Substitution, and Aggregation,”Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 40 (July 1973), pp. 403–410.
Christensen, L. R. and W. H. Greene, “Economies of Scales in U.S. Electric Power Generation,”Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 84 (July / August 1976), pt. 1, pp. 655–676.
Christensen, L. R., D. W. Jorgenson, and L. J. Lau, “Transcendental Logarithmic Production Frontiers,”The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 55 (February 1973), pp. 28–45.
Federal Power Commission,Monthly Power Plant Report, U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington, monthly.
Federal Power Commission,Monthly Report of Cost and Quality of Fuels for Steam-Electric Plants, U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington, monthly.
Gollop, F. M., and S. H. Karlson, “The Impact of the Fuel Adjustment Mechanism on Economic Efficiency,” Social Systems Research Institute, Paper 7612, University of Wisconsin, August 1976.
Hudson, E. H. and D. W. Jorgenson, “U.S. Energy Policy and Economic Growth, 1975–2000,”Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science, Vol. 5 (Autumn 1974), pp. 461–514.
Jorgenson, D. W. and E. R. Berndt, “Production Structure,” inEnergy Resources and Economic Growth by D. W. Jorgenson and H. S. Houthakker (eds.), Lexington: Data Resources Incorporated, 1973.
Joskow, P. L. and F. S. Mishkin, “Electric Utility Fuel Choice Behavior in the United States,” unpublished, October 1974.
Kmenta, J., and R. F. Gilbert, “Small Sample Properties of Alternative Estimators of Seemingly Unrelated Regressions,”Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 63 (December 1968), pp. 1180–1200.
Shephard, R. W.Cost and Production Functions, Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1953.
Turvey, R.,Optimal Pricing and Investment in Electricity Supply, The MIT Press, Cambridge, 1968.
Uri, N. D.Towards An Efficient Allocation of Electrical Energy, Lexington: D. C. Heath, 1975.
Uzawa, H. “Production Functions with Constant Elasticities of Substitution,”The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 44 (October 1962), pp. 291–299.
Zellner, Arnold, “An Efficient Method of Estimating Seemingly Unrelated Regressions and Tests for Aggregation Bias,”Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 57 (June 1962), pp. 348–368.
Barzel, Y., “The Production Function and Technical Change in the Steam Steam Power Industry,”Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 72 (April 1964), pp. 133–150.
Dhrymes, P., and M. Kurz, “Technology and Scale in Electricity Generation,”Econometrica, Vol. 32, No. 3 (July 1964).
Nerlove, M., “Returns to Scale in Electricity Supply,” inReadings in Economic Statistics and Econometrics, A. Zellner (ed.), Little, Brown, and Co., Boston, 1968.
Additional information
The author is an economist with the Department of Energy, Office of Conservation and Solar Applications. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the policies of the Department of Energy or the views of other Department of Energy staff members.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Uri, N.D. Regional interfuel substitution by electric companies: The short-term prospects. Ann Reg Sci 12, 4–15 (1978). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01286106
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01286106