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The best-laid schemes: An analysis of discrepancies between migration intentions and behavior

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Abstract

A longitudinal survey approach is used in a largely rural area in the Philippines to examine consistency between migration intentions and subsequent migration behavior. Inconsistencies in movement behavior, the timing of a move, and the destination are analyzed. Discrepancies between intentions and behavior are explained in terms of unanticipated constraints and facilitators as well as changes in the conditions that precipitated the migration intention in the first place. Intended international movers who did not actually move in a 2-1/2 year period were thwarted mainly by legal hurdles that could not be overcome. Intended internal migrants who did not actually move remained in their origin area primarily because of changes in job opportunities or family relationships. Methodological and theoretical implications of the findings are discussed.

The best laid schemes o' Mice an' Men Gang aft agley, An' la'e us nought but grief an' pain, For promis'd joy!

⋯ we must bear in mind the distinction between direct and facilitating factors involved in migration processes⋯ . migration analysis should consider some factors that facilitate or impede migration rather than determine migration directly (Goldscheider, 1971:38).

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Gardner, R.W., De Jong, G.F., Arnold, F. et al. The best-laid schemes: An analysis of discrepancies between migration intentions and behavior. Popul Environ 8, 63–77 (1985). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01263017

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