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The sources of the U.S. money demand instability

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Abstract

The structural stability of money demand relations has been the issue of a substantial number of empirical studies. In most studies for the U.S. structural breaks were found in the 1970s and the 1980s. In the present study a money demand function is specified in error-correction-form which involves realM1, realGNP, the deflator and a short-term interest rate. Using flexible least squares it is shown for the U.S. that the long-run coefficients ofM1, GNP and the interest rate are relatively stable over a period of more than 30 years while the deflator does not enter the relation. The instability of the relation is mainly due to changes in the short-term dynamics.

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The author thanks Martin Moryson for outstanding research assistance. The computations were performed with a GAUSS program written by the late Wolfgang Schneider.

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Lütkepohl, H. The sources of the U.S. money demand instability. Empirical Economics 18, 729–743 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01205418

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01205418

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