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Termination of distressed residential mortgages: An empirical analysis

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Abstract

A sample of 209 distressed mortgages is used to analyze the terminations of distressed mortgages. An option-based model is compared to a traditional default model. Results show that the traditional model is statistically superior. However, the model's ability to identify a default is similar to that of the simpler option-based model. Alternative measures of borrower's equity are compared. Measuring borrower's equity using total debt more accurately explains default than using either the mortgage balance or the mortgage value.

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Springer, T.M., Waller, N.G. Termination of distressed residential mortgages: An empirical analysis. J Real Estate Finan Econ 7, 43–54 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01096935

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