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Climatic Change

, Volume 30, Issue 2, pp 147–167 | Cite as

A reassessment of the economic effects of global climate change on U.S. agriculture

  • Richard M. Adams
  • Ronald A. Fleming
  • Ching-Chang Chang
  • Bruce A. McCarl
  • Cynthia Rosenzweig
Article

Abstract

This study uses recent GCM forecasts, improved plant science and water supply data and refined economic modeling capabilities to reassess the economic consequences of long-term climate change on U.S. agriculture. Changes in crop yields, crop water demand and irrigation water arising from climate change result in changes in economic welfare. Economic consequences of the three GCM scenarios are mixed; GISS and GFDL-QFlux result in aggregate economic gains, UKMO implies losses. As in previous studies, the yield enhancing effects of atmospheric CO2 are an important determinant of potential economic consequences. Inclusion of changes in world food production and associated export changes generally have a positive affect on U.S. agriculture. As with previous studies, the magnitude of economic effects estimated here are a small percentage of U.S. agricultural value.

Keywords

Climate Change Positive Affect Water Demand Economic Consequence Economic Welfare 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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Copyright information

© Kluwer Academic Publishers 1995

Authors and Affiliations

  • Richard M. Adams
    • 1
  • Ronald A. Fleming
    • 1
  • Ching-Chang Chang
    • 2
  • Bruce A. McCarl
    • 2
  • Cynthia Rosenzweig
    • 3
  1. 1.Department of Agricultural and Resource EconomicsOregon State UniversityCorvallisUSA
  2. 2.Texas A&M UniversityCollege StationUSA
  3. 3.Goddard Institute for Space StudiesColumbia UniversityNew YorkUSA

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